Cobra Challenge Div1A/Div2 ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, December 29, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Jersey City, NJ - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DELANEY Alexander D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
2 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
3 FAUBERT Andy C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
5 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
6 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 HILLYER Rourke W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
8 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 9%
9 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
10 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
11 SUPONYA Sergey 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
12 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
13 KOLKER Gregory A. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
14 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
15 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
16 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
17 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
18 GANA Jorge A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
19 KIM William M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
20 PERSAUD Daivik 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
21 MUNROE Shane 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
22 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
23 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
24 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
25 HANXU Richard A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
26 MRAK Michael R. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
27 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12%
28 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
29 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
30 SWERZENSKI Daniel J. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
31 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
32 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
33 ROBERTS Samuel E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
34 LIU Jack 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
35 ROMERO Javier 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
36 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
37 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
38 JIN Owen 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
39 WU Joseph 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
40 HE Lawrence 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
41 STEFANOV Michael A. 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
42 LIBERT Brian 100% 99% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
43 GANA Thomas A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
44 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
45 YOSHIDA Stephen R. 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
46 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
47 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
48 BASOK Nikita 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
49 CLARK Ethan J. 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
50 MACKIN Samuel 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
51 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
52 AYALA Jaime 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
53 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
54 LIBSON Tazman 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
55 BONIN Jr. Christopher J. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
56 LI Jeffrey 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
56 CHEN Austin 100% 95% 60% 21% 4% - -
58 PARK Frederick 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
59 BURKE Cyril 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
60 ALVANEZ Franki 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
61 LIU Frank 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
62 AGAON Shawn 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
63 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
64 AGAON Ethan 100% 93% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
65 WANG Eric S 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
65 TRAN Travis 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
67 GAO Daniel 100% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.