March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Junzhe - - - - 5% 30% 64%
2 ZHENG Andy - - - 1% 11% 50% 37%
3 MIDYANY Evan - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
3 PARK Sangwook - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
5 NAKAS Levent - - - - 5% 28% 67%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 1% 8% 33% 58%
7 SINGLETON Aman - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
8 HUANG Kenneth - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
9 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - - - 1% 15% 84%
10 BORISENKO Samuel - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
11 WANG Joey - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
12 VYSOTSKIY Evan - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
13 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
14 LIU Adam - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
15 LOISEAU Oscar - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
16 CHO Sean 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
17 LEE DoWon - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
18 AYOTTE James - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
19 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - - 3% 27% 70%
20 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
21 PENG Yue - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
22 QIAN Irvine - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
23 LEE Damien - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
24 ZHOU Shawn - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
25 MEHROTRA Neel - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
26 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
27 HEADRICK Jack - - 3% 14% 37% 39% 7%
28 DODDAPANENI Aarav - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
29 DONG Haiyi - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 23%
30 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
31 LU Jacob - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
32 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
33 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
34 TAI Edison - - 6% 28% 44% 22%
35 WONG Baron - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
36 YI Nathan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
37 HERNDON Liam - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
38 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
39 WU Johnny y. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
40 YAO Tristan - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
41 RAHMAN Ali - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
42 TSE Maxwell - 1% 7% 30% 43% 19%
43 NAEMI Barsam - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
44 WANG aaron - 5% 23% 41% 26% 4%
45 LI Tristan - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
46 KUANG Bryan 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
47 ZHAI Junqi - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
48 WU Steven 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
49 INGHILTERRA Luca 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
50 AHN EZRA - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
51 LYCHKO Maksym - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
52 YILMAZ Tarik - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
53 DODIN Daniel M. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
54 MAXU Tiger - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
54 GUO Woody - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
56 RODOCANACHI Hector - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
57 FENG Shang - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
58 TUMULA Arihaan 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
58 TUBALTSEV Evan - 4% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3%
60 XIA Dashan - 1% 11% 36% 39% 13%
61 MAZAHERI Fletcher 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
62 YANG Gary - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
63 LEE Royce - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
64 LEE Daniel 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
65 CHA Patrick - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
66 RAHMAN Zayd 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
66 KIM Remington - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
68 RONG Gordon - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
69 FU Adrian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
70 YAKHNIS Seth - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
71 JIANG Aaron 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
72 CAMPOS Sebastian 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
73 CARCELLER Jeremias 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
74 SATHYAN Dev 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
75 LI Timothy 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
76 WATTANAKIT Tawin 12% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
77 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
78 KROPP Wesley - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
79 BO Genero 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
80 KABANOV Gleb 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
81 MOORE Alexander - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
82 SOLARZ Arthur 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
83 LIU Andrew - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
84 RONG Marcus 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
85 CHEN Daniel 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% -
86 OLSON Joseph - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
86 NAIR Sujit - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
88 JIANG Harry 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4% -
89 BAUMAN Colin 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
90 KIM Julian 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
91 WU MiEr 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
92 SHAFFER Tyler 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
93 SRIKANTH Hariharan 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
94 GUO Lucas 2% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
95 DANILOV Artur 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
96 TANG Zheng - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
97 LOUIE Joseph 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
98 SONG Aidan 2% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1%
99 MA Ciel 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
100 LEE Aiden - 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
101 GIORDANO Zach 4% 27% 42% 22% 5% -
102 XUE Michael 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
103 MYRAH Devin 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
104 WHITE Jackson 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
105 CAFASSO Alexander - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
106 TESFAYE Elias 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
107 WONG Alexander 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
108 LUO Alexander 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
109 HELMY Richard - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
110 TANG Michael - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
111 SOLOMON Aryeh 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
112 HIGGINS SEBASTIAN 5% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
112 YAO Aiden 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
114 CHEN Isaac Zhi 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
115 MA Ryan 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
116 LIU Xuyao 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
117 LEWIS Michael 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
118 CHO Joshua 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
119 KIM Evan 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
120 KIM Alexander - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
121 NAM Nathaniel 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
122 MA Nolan 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
123 DU Evan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
124 LIU Austin 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
125 LEE Joshua 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
126 KATS Brandon 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
127 PLUMMER Kellan 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
127 KANG Ihan 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
129 WU Matthew 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
130 DING Max - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
131 CHEN Aiden 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
132 SHCHUR Grayson - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
133 QIU William 57% 36% 6% - - -
134 LU Ian 7% 34% 40% 17% 3% -
135 WANG Devin 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
136 WU Nathan - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
136 ENG Kyler - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
138 STREAM Logan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
139 ZHOU Max 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
140 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
141 LIM Marcus 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
141 SHAPIRO Samuel 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
141 SUN Marco 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
144 GEVA Reuben - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
145 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 3% -
146 HANTOV Adrian 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
147 ROBERTS Arthur 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
147 PERRY Noah 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
149 KICIMAN Leo 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4% -
150 JERKINS Gianni 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
151 VAN RIET Stefan 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
152 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 12% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
153 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 15% 48% 30% 6% 1% -
154 JAMES Kaden 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
155 WONG Vansen 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
155 MA kevin 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
157 FU Nolan 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
158 YEUNG Wang Ho Austin - 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
159 HUANG Max 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
160 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
161 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
162 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
163 BHANDARE Veer 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
164 FENG Xinmin 20% 42% 28% 9% 1% - -
165 WANG Lucas 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
166 VEERAVALLI Pranav 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
167 OBERDERFER Viktor 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
168 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
169 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
170 YUE Bryan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
170 LI Bryan 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
172 YU Brandon 73% 24% 3% - - -
173 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
174 FRENCH Drake 2% 20% 47% 25% 5% -
175 RICHARDSON Matthew 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
176 MAZAHERI Theodore 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
176 MA yuwei 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
178 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
178 YAO Ryan 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
180 DAI Jason 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
181 PANUGANTI Neal 2% 18% 50% 26% 4% -
182 SLAVIN Tamir 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.