March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 37%
3 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
3 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
7 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
8 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
9 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
10 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
11 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
12 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
13 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
14 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
15 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
16 CHO Sean 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
17 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
18 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
19 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
20 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
21 PENG Yue 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
22 QIAN Irvine 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
23 LEE Damien 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
24 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
25 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
26 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
27 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 7%
28 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
29 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
30 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
31 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
32 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
33 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
34 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 22%
35 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
36 YI Nathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
37 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
38 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
39 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
40 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
41 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
42 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 19%
43 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
44 WANG aaron 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
45 LI Tristan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
46 KUANG Bryan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
47 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
48 WU Steven 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
49 INGHILTERRA Luca 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
50 AHN EZRA 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
51 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
52 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
53 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 26%
54 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
54 GUO Woody 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
56 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
57 FENG Shang 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
58 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
58 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
60 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
61 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
62 YANG Gary 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
63 LEE Royce 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
64 LEE Daniel 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
65 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
66 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
66 KIM Remington 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 18% 1%
68 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
69 FU Adrian 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
70 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
71 JIANG Aaron 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
72 CAMPOS Sebastian 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
73 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
74 SATHYAN Dev 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
75 LI Timothy 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
76 WATTANAKIT Tawin 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
77 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
78 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
79 BO Genero 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
80 KABANOV Gleb 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
81 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
82 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
83 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
84 RONG Marcus 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
85 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% -
86 OLSON Joseph 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
86 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
88 JIANG Harry 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4% -
89 BAUMAN Colin 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
90 KIM Julian 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
91 WU MiEr 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
92 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
93 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
94 GUO Lucas 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1%
95 DANILOV Artur 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
96 TANG Zheng 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
97 LOUIE Joseph 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
98 SONG Aidan 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
99 MA Ciel 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
100 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
101 GIORDANO Zach 100% 96% 69% 27% 5% -
102 XUE Michael 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
103 MYRAH Devin 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
104 WHITE Jackson 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
105 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
106 TESFAYE Elias 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
107 WONG Alexander 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
108 LUO Alexander 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
109 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
110 TANG Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
111 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
112 HIGGINS SEBASTIAN 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
112 YAO Aiden 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
114 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
115 MA Ryan 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
116 LIU Xuyao 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
117 LEWIS Michael 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
118 CHO Joshua 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
119 KIM Evan 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
120 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
121 NAM Nathaniel 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
122 MA Nolan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
123 DU Evan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
124 LIU Austin 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
125 LEE Joshua 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
126 KATS Brandon 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
127 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
127 KANG Ihan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
129 WU Matthew 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
130 DING Max 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
131 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
132 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
133 QIU William 100% 43% 7% - - -
134 LU Ian 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
135 WANG Devin 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
136 WU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
136 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
138 STREAM Logan 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% - -
139 ZHOU Max 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
140 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
141 LIM Marcus 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
141 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
141 SUN Marco 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
144 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
145 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
146 HANTOV Adrian 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
147 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
147 PERRY Noah 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
149 KICIMAN Leo 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
150 JERKINS Gianni 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
151 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
152 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
153 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 85% 37% 7% 1% -
154 JAMES Kaden 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
155 WONG Vansen 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
155 MA kevin 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
157 FU Nolan 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
158 YEUNG Wang Ho Austin 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
159 HUANG Max 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
160 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
161 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
162 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
163 BHANDARE Veer 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
164 FENG Xinmin 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
165 WANG Lucas 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
166 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
167 OBERDERFER Viktor 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
168 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
169 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
170 YUE Bryan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
170 LI Bryan 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
172 YU Brandon 100% 27% 3% - - -
173 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
174 FRENCH Drake 100% 98% 78% 31% 6% -
175 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
176 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
176 MA yuwei 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
178 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
178 YAO Ryan 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
180 DAI Jason 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
181 PANUGANTI Neal 100% 98% 80% 31% 4% -
182 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.