March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-10 Men's Épée

Monday, March 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHOU Shawn - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
2 DODIN Daniel M. - - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
3 SONG Aidan - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
3 GEVA Reuben - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
5 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
6 DANILOV Artur - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
7 YAO Tristan - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
8 TANG Michael - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
9 KROPP Wesley - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
10 MOSTOVOY philip - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
11 LIU Andrew - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
12 LI Stephen - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
13 YEUNG Wang Ho Austin 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
14 MIDYANY Ryan - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
15 WU Nathan - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
16 DING Max - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
17 CHEN Aiden - 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 3%
18 KIM Julian - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
19 ENG Kyler - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
20 PERRY Noah 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
21 CHIANG William 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
22 MASKIN Mikhail - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
23 LU Ian 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
24 WU MiEr - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
25 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
26 XUE Michael - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
27 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 3% 13% 27% 32% 19% 5%
28 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
29 SHAPIRO Samuel 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
30 PLUMMER Kellan - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
31 ARMSTRONG Payson - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
32 YAO Aiden 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
33 YAO Ryan - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
34 MA Nolan - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 4%
35 WANG Lucas 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
36 CHEN Daniel 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
37 WU Matthew 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
38 ROBERTS Arthur - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
39 ALI Rayan - - 1% 6% 26% 46% 22%
40 WONG Alexander - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
41 HEADRICK Liam - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 6%
42 DAI Jason - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
43 CHANG Matthew 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3%
44 KIM Evan 1% 5% 18% 30% 29% 14% 3%
45 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
46 BHANDARE Veer - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
47 LUO Alexander - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
48 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
49 HANTOV Adrian 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
50 YUE Bryan 4% 16% 30% 29% 16% 4% 1%
51 HU Charles 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
52 FU Nolan - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
53 ROFINO Samuel 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
54 GUO Jonathan - 2% 13% 32% 36% 14% 2%
55 RONG Marcus - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
56 KHERSONSKY Robert - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 19%
57 WHITE Jackson 2% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
58 KATS Brandon 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
59 ZHAN ETHAN 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
60 KIM Aiden 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
61 FRENCH Drake - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
62 LEITNER Brek 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
63 CAVALLARO Sebastian 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 2% -
64 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 32% 45% 20% 4% - -
65 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
66 LIU Austin - 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
67 LEE Joshua 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
68 MYRAH Devin 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
69 YAKHNIS Seth - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
70 SHOURIE Seth 1% 7% 20% 31% 26% 12% 2%
71 MA yuwei 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
72 DU Evan - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
73 SHOURIE Neel - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
74 CHO Joshua - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
75 PARK Ethan 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
76 LIU Xuyao 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
77 KANG Ihan 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
78 VEERAVALLI Pranav 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
79 RAU Shogun 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
80 MA kevin 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
81 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
82 RAMIREZ Hunter - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
83 CHO Joshua 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
84 REEVES Grayson 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
85 BERNIER Landyn 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
86 YOU Emmanuel 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
87 MAZAHERI Theodore 25% 47% 23% 4% - -
88 KICIMAN Leo - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
89 LI Bryan 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
90 LUO Alvin Y. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
91 DANILENKO Daniel - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
92 PANUGANTI Neal 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
93 GOLDBERG Simon 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
94 WANG Mason 6% 23% 33% 25% 11% 2% -
95 RICHARDSON Matthew 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
95 RAMIREZ Tristan 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
97 KHALID Ilyas - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
98 MAZAHERI John 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
98 THOMSON Piers 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
98 YU Brandon 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
101 KAPP Eamon 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
102 KIM Kaiden 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
103 LIU Alrik SiWei 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
104 LAI Jayden 8% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
105 DESAI Adithya < 1% 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
106 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
106 YANG Rony 71% 25% 4% - - - -
108 TAN Samuel 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
109 LIU Yihong 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.