March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-10 Men's Épée

Monday, March 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
2 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
3 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
5 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
6 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
7 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
8 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
9 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17%
10 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
11 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
12 LI Stephen 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
13 YEUNG Wang Ho Austin 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
14 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
15 WU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
16 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
17 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
18 KIM Julian 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
19 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
20 PERRY Noah 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
21 CHIANG William 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
22 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
23 LU Ian 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2% -
24 WU MiEr 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
25 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
26 XUE Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
27 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 96% 83% 56% 24% 5%
28 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
29 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
30 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
31 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
32 YAO Aiden 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
33 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
34 MA Nolan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 4%
35 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
36 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
37 WU Matthew 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
38 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
39 ALI Rayan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 22%
40 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
41 HEADRICK Liam 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
42 DAI Jason 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
43 CHANG Matthew 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
44 KIM Evan 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 17% 3%
45 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
46 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
47 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
48 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
49 HANTOV Adrian 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
50 YUE Bryan 100% 96% 80% 50% 21% 5% 1%
51 HU Charles 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
52 FU Nolan 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
53 ROFINO Samuel 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
54 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 2%
55 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
56 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
57 WHITE Jackson 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
58 KATS Brandon 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
59 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
60 KIM Aiden 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
61 FRENCH Drake 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
62 LEITNER Brek 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
63 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
64 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
65 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
66 LIU Austin 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
67 LEE Joshua 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
68 MYRAH Devin 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
69 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
70 SHOURIE Seth 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 14% 2%
71 MA yuwei 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
72 DU Evan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
73 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
74 CHO Joshua 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
75 PARK Ethan 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
76 LIU Xuyao 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
77 KANG Ihan 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
78 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
79 RAU Shogun 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 2% -
80 MA kevin 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 8% 1%
81 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
82 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
83 CHO Joshua 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
84 REEVES Grayson 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
85 BERNIER Landyn 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
86 YOU Emmanuel 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
87 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 75% 27% 5% - -
88 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
89 LI Bryan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
90 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
91 DANILENKO Daniel 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
92 PANUGANTI Neal 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
93 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
94 WANG Mason 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 3% -
95 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
95 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
97 KHALID Ilyas 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
98 MAZAHERI John 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
98 THOMSON Piers 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
98 YU Brandon 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
101 KAPP Eamon 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
102 KIM Kaiden 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
103 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
104 LAI Jayden 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
105 DESAI Adithya 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
106 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% - -
106 YANG Rony 100% 29% 4% - - - -
108 TAN Samuel 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
109 LIU Yihong 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.