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Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, March 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
2 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
3 LU Kevin - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 1%
3 RASMUSSEN Sage - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 9%
5 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - - 1% 17% 81%
6 VALOUEV Aleksey - - - 5% 25% 44% 26%
7 LING Eddie - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
8 KIM Daniel Y. - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 8%
9 CHOI Ethan - - 5% 26% 47% 21%
10 WU Alber Y. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
11 OH Jaden - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
12 YU Jason - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
13 LE Jacob H. - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
14 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
15 REICHEL Ezra 2% 23% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
16 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
17 DERRICK Blake - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
18 DINSAY Kristjan - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
19 ZHANG Aaron - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
20 LO Preston - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
21 LAM Nicolas - 3% 18% 39% 31% 9% -
22 NGUYEN Martin - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10%
23 PARK Rion - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
24 LLIDO Soren - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
25 CHEN Hanson - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
26 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
27 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
28 XIE Buster - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
29 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
30 TALASILA Arush - 5% 25% 43% 23% 4%
31 LIU William 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
32 KIM Aiden - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
33 AGRAWAL Niki 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
34 KETTELLE John - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
35 WUJASTYK Leon - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
36 PONS Diego - - 4% 21% 41% 31% 3%
37 PINCHENG Yao - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
38 CHOI Ethan 1% 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
39 LI Toby - 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
40 NGAI Julian - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
41 PARK Sky - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
42 ORNELAS Matteo 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
43 WONG Evan 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
44 FANG Jaden 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
45 TSAY Jordan R. 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
46 TUAN Evan - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 1%
47 HUANG Jonathan - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
48 WONG Yuheng Isaac - 2% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
49 KIM Jonah 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
50 CHUANG Oscar - 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
51 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
52 YANG Charles 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
52 RAUTUREAU Hugo 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
54 MORTON Joshua 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
55 ZHANG Jacob 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
56 BIELER Mason 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
57 ROZALSKI Eli - 3% 21% 39% 29% 8% -
58 DENG David 3% 34% 42% 17% 3% - -
59 ZHOU Ryan 6% 30% 42% 18% 3% -
60 GREENEBAUM Oliver 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
61 ZHANG Matthew - 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1%
62 SAH Steven 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
63 KUO Jayden 48% 42% 10% 1% - - -
64 LING Carson Jr 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
65 UPENDER West 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
66 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
67 TULYAG Azim 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
68 RAUTUREAU Arthur 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
69 ZHANG Lucas 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
70 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
71 KALAMAS Nikolas 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
72 BAE Eugene 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
73 KAISER Lucas 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
74 SEIGEL Duncan 4% 47% 37% 11% 1% - -
75 SHORTER David Alexander 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
76 ZHAN Kevin 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
77 CHANG Nathan 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
78 MANIKTALA Suvir 21% 49% 25% 5% - - -
79 PETROV Mikhail 60% 32% 7% 1% - - -
80 FLANAGAN Miles 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
81 HOU Xiaolin (Kobe) 6% 54% 32% 7% 1% - -
82 WONG Braxton 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
83 TSOI Spencer 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
84 LEE Mason 5% 26% 43% 23% 3% - -
85 STRUNK Jonathan 78% 20% 2% - - - -
86 BOYNTON Alex 89% 10% - - - - -
87 DAYAL Vedant 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.