Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, March 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
2 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
3 LU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 1%
3 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
5 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
6 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
7 LING Eddie 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
8 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
9 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
10 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
11 OH Jaden 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
12 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
13 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% -
14 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
15 REICHEL Ezra 100% 98% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
16 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
17 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
18 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
19 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
20 LO Preston 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
21 LAM Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% -
22 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
23 PARK Rion 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
24 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
25 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
26 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
27 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
28 XIE Buster 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
29 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
30 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 4%
31 LIU William 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
32 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
33 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
34 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
35 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
36 PONS Diego 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 3%
37 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
38 CHOI Ethan 100% 99% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
39 LI Toby 100% 100% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
40 NGAI Julian 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
41 PARK Sky 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
42 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
43 WONG Evan 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
44 FANG Jaden 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
45 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1%
46 TUAN Evan 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 1%
47 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
48 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
49 KIM Jonah 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
50 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% -
51 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
52 YANG Charles 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
52 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3%
54 MORTON Joshua 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
55 ZHANG Jacob 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
56 BIELER Mason 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
57 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% -
58 DENG David 100% 97% 62% 20% 3% - -
59 ZHOU Ryan 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% -
60 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
61 ZHANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
62 SAH Steven 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
63 KUO Jayden 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
64 LING Carson Jr 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
65 UPENDER West 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
66 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
67 TULYAG Azim 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
68 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
69 ZHANG Lucas 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
70 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
71 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
72 BAE Eugene 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
73 KAISER Lucas 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
74 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 96% 49% 12% 1% - -
75 SHORTER David Alexander 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
76 ZHAN Kevin 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
77 CHANG Nathan 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
78 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 79% 31% 6% - - -
79 PETROV Mikhail 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
80 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
81 HOU Xiaolin (Kobe) 100% 94% 39% 8% 1% - -
82 WONG Braxton 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
83 TSOI Spencer 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
84 LEE Mason 100% 95% 69% 26% 3% - -
85 STRUNK Jonathan 100% 22% 2% - - - -
86 BOYNTON Alex 100% 11% - - - - -
87 DAYAL Vedant 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.