Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
3 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
6 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
7 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6%
8 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
9 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
10 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 42% 7%
11 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
12 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 8%
13 PARK Rion 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
14 OH Jaden 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
15 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 19%
16 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
17 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
17 RENTERIA Emiliano 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
17 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 10%
20 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 5%
21 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
22 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
23 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
24 LI Toby 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
25 FANG Jaden 100% 100% 93% 48% 8% - -
26 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
27 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
28 LI Samuel 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
29 WONG Evan 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2% -
30 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
31 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
32 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
33 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
34 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
35 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 14%
36 LIU William 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
37 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
38 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
39 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
40 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
41 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 6%
42 PONS Diego 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
43 LAM Nicolas 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
43 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 5% -
45 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36% 5%
46 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1% -
47 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
48 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 83% 25% 3% - -
49 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
49 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 4% -
51 XIE Buster 100% 100% 95% 59% 13% 1% -
52 TUAN Evan 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
53 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
54 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 87% 50% 15% 2%
55 MORTON Joshua 100% 100% 71% 28% 5% -
56 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 94% 59% 19% 3% -
57 PINCHENG Yao 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% -
58 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 99% 84% 46% 11%
59 RYOU Andy 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
60 AIKEN Nicholas A. 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
61 PARK Sky 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
62 YORK Lucas 100% 89% 47% 11% 1% - -
63 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
64 TULYAG Azim 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
65 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
66 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
67 DALVA Michael 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
68 MA Bryant 100% 100% 98% 77% 37% 8%
69 BARTSCH Henry 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
70 REICHEL Ezra 100% 97% 74% 30% 5% - -
71 SAH Steven 100% 98% 77% 35% 7% 1% -
72 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
73 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
74 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
74 CHEN Brian 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
76 ZHANG Graham 100% 95% 56% 15% 1% - -
77 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 98% 72% 26% 4% - -
78 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 4%
79 BAE Eugene 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
80 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
81 KUO Jayden 100% 43% 7% - - - -
82 LIANG Ethan 100% 40% 3% - - - -
83 GORDON William L. 100% 97% 70% 27% 4% - -
84 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 75% 24% 4% - - -
85 LI Gen 100% 87% 43% 11% 1% - -
86 KIM Jonah 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
87 BOYNTON Alex 100% 1% - - - -
88 CHUN Dashel 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
89 PETROV Mikhail 100% 26% 3% - - - -
90 KAISER Lucas 100% 73% 13% 1% - - -
91 SHORTER David Alexander 100% 32% 3% - - -
92 ROSE Jacob W. 100% 31% 4% - - - -
92 STRUNK Jonathan 100% 25% 2% - - - -
94 DAYAL Vedant 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
95 HE Bourne 100% 40% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.