American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Brandon H. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
2 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 4% 30% 66%
3 DOBBINS Evan W. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
3 TAQI Ahmad F. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
5 MA Alexander - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
6 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
7 YU Vinni - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
8 KIM Nicholas W. - - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
9 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - - - 6% 33% 60%
10 SHAFAIE Ali - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
11 LUTAR Lucas N. - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
12 BATRAK Alexander - 3% 16% 33% 32% 15% 3%
13 KASI Sanjay - - 7% 30% 43% 17% 2%
14 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
15 ZHAO Jason L. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
16 JANG Jaewon - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
17 LIU Niles J. - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
18 DING Jonathan - 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
19 SINGH Dayaal - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
20 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 1% 10% 35% 45% 9%
21 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
22 PRINCE Nicholas J. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
23 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
24 HEWES Thomas G. - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
25 CHIN Jason Y. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
26 CHENG Thomas C. 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
27 HARTMARK Anders - - 2% 15% 40% 36% 7%
28 ZHANG Henry C. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
29 CHENG Jonathan - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
30 LOCKWOOD Owen - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
31 WU Alexander - - 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
32 LAUN Drew P. 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
33 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
34 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
35 BADRIGIAN William H. 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
36 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
37 KAO Castor T. - 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
38 YEROKHIN Michael N. 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
38 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
40 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai - - 5% 24% 43% 24% 3%
41 MANGE Nathan - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
42 ADLER David R. - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
43 REZNICK Nicholas J. 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
44 MARSHALL Ian 1% 20% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
45 CRALEY Thomas M. - 1% 17% 37% 32% 12% 2%
46 RECHLER Logan 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
47 ONIK Elijah T. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
48 RITCHIE Luke W. - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
49 WANG Michael 1% 10% 39% 37% 12% 1% -
50 TUMMINGS C.J. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
50 HU Robin 1% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
52 DOCTOR Aidan L. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
53 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. - 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
54 BAE Kevin 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
55 KAZA Nitish 3% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
56 LIAO Alex J. - 4% 25% 43% 24% 4% -
57 HERGERT Benito - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
58 VANNI Filippo A. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
58 DU Samuel R. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
60 KWON Ethan 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% -
61 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 2% 13% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
62 GALLUCCI Charles John 1% 28% 40% 23% 7% 1% -
63 CAI Oliver K. 16% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
64 ORTIZ Zachary M. - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
65 GU Jeffrey 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
66 JOHNSON Cooper A. 19% 45% 29% 6% - - -
67 CORTIZAS John (Jack) - 5% 21% 40% 27% 7% -
68 NAGER Noah 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
69 CHAN Tyler 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
70 LE Vyn A. 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
71 WU Nicholas - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
72 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 24% 46% 24% 5% - - -
73 SANTULLI Tristan 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
74 STURGIS Zachary C. 16% 62% 19% 2% - - -
75 AHN Jun 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
76 KULKARNI Ansh A. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
77 ZHAO Jesse 13% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
78 DAUM Charlie 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
79 ZHONG Guoren 15% 44% 32% 8% 1% - -
80 MCLENDON Diego 57% 37% 6% - - - -
81 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
82 WANG Alex L. 20% 54% 22% 3% - - -
83 BERGER Cameron D. 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
83 BOUSSY Luciano 85% 14% 1% - - - -
85 VENKATESH Aditya 89% 10% - - - - -
86 WANG Gerald Y. 33% 44% 20% 4% - - -
87 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 78% 20% 2% - - - -
87 XU Mathu Yang 76% 24% 1% - - - -
89 JUSTUS Benjamin 93% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.