American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
2 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
3 TAQI Ahmad F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
5 MA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
6 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
7 YU Vinni 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
8 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
9 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
10 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
11 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
12 BATRAK Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
13 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 19% 2%
14 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
15 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
16 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
17 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
18 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
19 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
20 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 9%
21 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
22 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
23 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
24 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 2%
25 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
26 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
27 HARTMARK Anders 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 7%
28 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
29 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
30 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
31 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
32 LAUN Drew P. 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
33 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
34 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
35 BADRIGIAN William H. 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
36 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
37 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2%
38 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
38 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
40 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 3%
41 MANGE Nathan 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
42 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
43 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
44 MARSHALL Ian 100% 99% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
45 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2%
46 RECHLER Logan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
47 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
48 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
49 WANG Michael 100% 99% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
50 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
50 HU Robin 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
52 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
53 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
54 BAE Kevin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
55 KAZA Nitish 100% 97% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
56 LIAO Alex J. 100% 100% 96% 71% 28% 4% -
57 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
58 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 3%
58 DU Samuel R. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
60 KWON Ethan 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
61 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
62 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 99% 71% 31% 8% 1% -
63 CAI Oliver K. 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
64 ORTIZ Zachary M. 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
65 GU Jeffrey 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
66 JOHNSON Cooper A. 100% 81% 35% 7% - - -
67 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 7% -
68 NAGER Noah 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
69 CHAN Tyler 100% 97% 80% 41% 11% 1%
70 LE Vyn A. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
71 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
72 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
73 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% -
74 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 84% 22% 2% - - -
75 AHN Jun 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
76 KULKARNI Ansh A. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
77 ZHAO Jesse 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
78 DAUM Charlie 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
79 ZHONG Guoren 100% 85% 41% 9% 1% - -
80 MCLENDON Diego 100% 43% 6% - - - -
81 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
82 WANG Alex L. 100% 80% 26% 3% - - -
83 BERGER Cameron D. 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
83 BOUSSY Luciano 100% 15% 1% - - - -
85 VENKATESH Aditya 100% 11% - - - - -
86 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
87 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 100% 22% 2% - - - -
87 XU Mathu Yang 100% 24% 1% - - - -
89 JUSTUS Benjamin 100% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.