Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
2 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
3 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
5 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
6 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 33%
7 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
8 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
9 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 35%
11 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
12 LI Arvin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
13 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
14 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 6%
15 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 2%
16 GUO Sean 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
17 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
18 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
19 BADLANI Dev 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
20 LEE Chris 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
21 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 21% 2%
22 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
23 WANG Winston 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
24 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
25 SONG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
26 TANG Albert 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
27 PARRISH Evan 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
28 LI Aaron 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
29 LIU Derek 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
30 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
31 GAO William 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
32 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
33 HUANG Eythan 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
34 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% -
35 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
36 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
36 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
38 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
39 LI Ayren 100% 99% 84% 49% 14% 2% -
39 LEVY Jacob 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
41 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
42 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8% 1%
43 LU Howen 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% - -
44 GUO Justin 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
45 XU Ethan 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
46 ZHAO Adam 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
47 GAO Payton 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
48 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
49 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% -
50 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
51 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
52 PAN Henry 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
53 MAGALONG William 100% 96% 42% 8% 1% - -
54 SURESH Rohan 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
55 CHO Xzander 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
56 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
57 YAO Bradley 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
58 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 93% 59% 17% 2% - -
59 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% -
60 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
61 MARTIN Darius 100% 89% 50% 16% 2% - -
62 LEE Eugene 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
63 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
64 WANG Rory 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
65 XU Ethan 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
66 MUNDY Ezra 100% 37% 6% - - - -
67 WANG Brian 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
68 HU Alan 100% 86% 47% 15% 2% - -
69 ZHEN Youwei 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
70 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 83% 37% 6% - - -
70 COSSROW Alex 100% 31% 4% - - - -
72 BAI Brian 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
73 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
73 FRANK Amir 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
75 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
76 BRATTAIN Trey 100% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.