Windy City ROC /RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. - - - - 2% 98%
2 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
3 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 3% 17% 44% 35%
3 BOUMEDIENNE Sami - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
5 NOWAK Jakub P. - 1% 11% 41% 47%
6 JOVANOVIC Jovan - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
7 SILVERS Ari - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
8 ZIEGLER John 6% 51% 35% 6% -
9 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
10 KARNAS Karol - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
11 RITCHIE Phillip - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
12 STENCEL Andrew E. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
13 GOHSMAN Maxwell - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
14 LEE Seungwon 1% 9% 36% 42% 12%
15 LIMER Avi 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
16 LE BIHAN Henri 1% 11% 34% 37% 14% 2%
17 TOLLEFSON Zachary - 15% 41% 34% 9% 1%
18 SMITH Justin C. - 1% 13% 46% 40%
19 BEACH John - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
20 KRZYSIAK David F. 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 2%
21 HU Anton 14% 45% 31% 9% 1% -
22 DENNIS Ethan 2% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
23 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 2% 16% 41% 33% 7%
24 MILLER Lance W. 1% 23% 51% 22% 3%
25 REINER Julius J. 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
26 CONKLIN Jim - 2% 18% 51% 30%
27 WHEELER Mark C. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
28 CORRALES Victor M. - 10% 34% 39% 16% 2%
29 CURTY Jack 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
30 ELTERMAN Lev 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
31 ZHENG Jerry 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
32 ALI Adam 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
33 SWANSON Dave 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
33 RAY William 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
35 BARNES William 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
36 FANG Hanning 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
37 KRAJ Pawel 1% 9% 31% 40% 19% -
38 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 1% 11% 33% 39% 16% -
39 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 31% 44% 20% 4% - -
40 RICHARDSON Ray 1% 26% 44% 25% 5% -
41 MCKEEVER Luca - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
42 CHU Duong 79% 19% 1% - -
43 MITEV Alexander 34% 48% 16% 2% -
44 AGARWAL Adheesh 33% 45% 18% 3% - -
45 JOHNSON Jay 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3%
46 MADRY Josh 13% 40% 36% 9% 1% -
47 YANG Pengfei 30% 48% 19% 2% -
48 CASTELLANOS Rene E. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
49 HE Lingyun Matthew 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
50 LIN Zizhen 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
51 VENTURELLA George 19% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
52 CALLAHAN Zavier 96% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.