National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Christopher T. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
2 LIU Ethan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
3 SCHLESINGER Nathan - - - - 6% 31% 63%
3 MCISAAC Finn - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
5 QIAN Jason H. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
6 SETLUR Bhrugu - 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
7 NICOLETTI Luca - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
8 COZINE Owen N. - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
9 PARK Sky - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
10 PITERBARG Maxim - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
11 GUO Sean - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
12 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
13 KAPOOR Aayan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
14 KIM Jackson - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
15 FINLEY Dylan - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
16 WU Trevor - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
17 BARTEL Jacob L. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
18 ROZALSKI Eli - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
19 ZHEN Ethan - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
20 DINSAY Kristjan - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
21 WU Lucas - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
22 LI Avery Peihong - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
22 STRINGER David - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
24 TIKHAEV Alexander - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
25 LIU Derek - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
26 ORVAÑANOS Jorge - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
27 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
28 LEE Brendan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
29 HOSKERI Anik S. - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
30 TONKOVICH Ryan - 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
31 WANG Ethan - - 5% 19% 39% 32% 5%
32 ANDERSON Jacob - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
33 WILKINS Mateo - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
34 LIGOS Alex M. - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
35 BROWN Darius D. 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
36 EDISON Ansel - 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
37 LLIDO Soren - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
38 STRAYER Andrew - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
39 LING Eddie - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
40 ORLOV Dmitriy - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
41 DRESSEL Jet - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
42 YEE Johnathan - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
43 NGUYEN Liam - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
44 LEVY Jacob - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
45 ZHANG Aaron - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
46 LI Ayren - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4%
47 AKYAMAC Bora - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9%
47 KETTELLE John 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
49 GOBBO Alexander - 1% 6% 29% 46% 18%
50 LEUNG Jin 5% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
51 WU Alistair - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
52 YAO Bradley - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
53 YOON DYLAN - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
54 DELISLE Jonas P. - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
55 OH Jaden - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
56 LI Jett - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
57 WONG Jackson - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
58 TEMPLE Jackson - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
59 TRUBETSKI David 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
60 SINHA Verdhaan - 6% 26% 42% 22% 3%
61 LIU William 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
62 HUANG Eythan - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
63 ARANA Massimo 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
64 SMITH Grant D. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
65 JIANG Bowang 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
66 LI Samuel - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 18%
67 DAVIDSON Elliot - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
68 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
68 KRYLTSOV Michael - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
70 TALASILA Arush - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
71 TANG August L. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
72 LI Aaron - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
73 WERWA Griffith - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
74 XU Andy P. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 8%
75 RAJ Jay - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
76 LEE Eugene - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
77 KALIPERSAD Neil A. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
78 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
79 GETSIN Anthony 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
80 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
81 KLYCZEK Andrew - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
82 REICHEL Ezra - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
83 LI Allen 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 5% -
84 QUINONES Diego A. - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
85 GE Daniel 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
86 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
86 MOE Annan - 7% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
88 BOUSSY Luciano - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
89 ARIZA Abraham J. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
90 KIM Brian - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
91 POPE Alexander 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
92 WECHSLER Jacob - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
93 CHEZ Nolan 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
94 CHREKY Jacob D. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
95 JORDON Kaleb W. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
95 JEFFERY Jakob - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
97 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
98 MILLER Andrew - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
99 WANG Rory 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
100 LI Matthew - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
101 MONTALBINE Aidan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
102 GERRISH William 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
103 LANGEN Carter M. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
104 WONG Luke S. 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
105 KIM Adrian - 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
106 ANDRIC Borna - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
107 PARK Ryan - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
108 CHUNG Yeongbin - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
109 DE COQUET Maximilian - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
109 SRINIVASAN Vedant - 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
111 MILLER Aidan A. - - 1% 11% 31% 39% 17%
111 TEH Ryan 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
113 HSIAO Nicholas 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
113 JOHNSON Chance 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
115 SAH Steven 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
116 TULYAG Azim 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
117 MCCOWN Ronan 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
118 WALL Peter M. - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
119 KIM Daniel Y. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
120 XU Ethan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
121 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
122 EDWARDS Maxon - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
123 PEDERSEN Charles 8% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
124 GORDON William L. 5% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
125 MAVANI Krishna 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
126 HOLCOMB Cedric 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
127 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
128 FENG Michael 4% 25% 43% 23% 5% -
129 PARK Rion - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
130 ARCE Andrew W. 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
131 BOYKO Miles 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1%
132 SMITH Erick - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
132 YAP Nathan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
134 PETERSON Dale - 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
135 UPENDER West 39% 43% 15% 3% - - -
136 KIM Andy 2% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
137 HARRIS Otto - 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
138 LYNCH Owen C. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
139 WONG Evan 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
140 MARTIN William 3% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
141 YANG Dylan 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
142 FINNEY Lorenz - 2% 14% 35% 37% 13%
143 AMRANI David 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
144 BAI Brian 22% 45% 26% 6% - -
145 ROBINS Brennan 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
146 SPINA Joseph B. 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
147 HOWLAND Jonas 31% 46% 20% 3% - -
148 BIESIADA Jan 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
149 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
150 ISAACSON Bjorn - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
151 KIM Jonah 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
152 TSOI Spencer 7% 46% 35% 10% 1% - -
153 YU Stephen 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
154 WOHLERS Trevor 9% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
155 GREENLEAF Paul 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
156 CAPRA Ethan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
157 KANDAGADLA Rishi 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
158 HE Kyle 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
159 CHOI Simon 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
160 NOFZIGER Bennett 1% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
161 CHIN Ryan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
162 VACA Ricardo E. - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
162 FAN Yuchen 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 6% 1%
164 MASSIMINO Andrew 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
165 HOLLIS Sean 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
166 LEE Jayden 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
167 RIPA Joseph K. 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -
168 LIPPMAN Sam - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
169 JURMAN Therin 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
169 BATRA Dev 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
171 KRAMER Ryan 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
172 CUTLER Andrew 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
173 COOK Ryan 7% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
174 CURTIS William K. 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 2%
175 MAGALONG William 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
176 HASBUN Christopher 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
177 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
178 STORER Alex 3% 19% 35% 28% 12% 2% -
179 MORRIS Luke 33% 51% 15% 2% - - -
180 SANTIAGO Elias 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
180 SURESH Rohan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
180 SHAPIRO Leon 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
183 CREBBS Calvin 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
184 GRAY Caidan 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
185 ENOIU Patrick 47% 40% 11% 2% - - -
186 RUBIN Max 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
187 HOLCOMB Alexander 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
188 KRAVETZ Benjamin (Ben) D. - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
189 LACHAPELLE Cole 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
189 SAADO Cesar 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 12% 2%
191 LAO Kevin 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
192 CHO Xzander 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
193 FERENCZ Alexander J. 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
194 MODADUGU Aryan 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
195 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
196 DULAI Angad 41% 46% 12% 1% - - -
197 CLARK Benjamin 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
198 NEICE William 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
199 HUNTER Phillip 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
200 BARTRAM Carter H. < 1% 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
200 HERNANDEZ Marc A. < 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
202 BARRETT Austin 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
202 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
202 THOMSON Hyrum 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
205 SEMP Iain 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
206 TOMASI John 13% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
207 ARATA Connor 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
208 SCOTT Chase 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
208 LITTLE Alex 75% 23% 2% - - - -
210 MCKEE Calvin 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
211 MILES Greyson 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
212 MAYER Richard < 1% 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
212 LOCKWOOD Jacob 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
214 SMITH Charles 81% 17% 1% - - - -
215 LEE Daniel 59% 34% 6% 1% - - -
216 LINDOW Connor 15% 45% 30% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.