National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
2 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
3 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 MCISAAC Finn 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
5 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
6 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
7 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
8 COZINE Owen N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
9 PARK Sky 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
10 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
11 GUO Sean 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
12 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
13 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8% 1%
14 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
15 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
16 WU Trevor 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
17 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
18 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
19 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
20 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
21 WU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
22 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
22 STRINGER David 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
24 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 8%
25 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
26 ORVAÑANOS Jorge 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
27 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
28 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
29 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
30 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
31 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 5%
32 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 6%
33 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
34 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
35 BROWN Darius D. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
36 EDISON Ansel 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1%
37 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
38 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
39 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
40 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
41 DRESSEL Jet 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
42 YEE Johnathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
43 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
44 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 3%
45 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
46 LI Ayren 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
47 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
47 KETTELLE John 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
49 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 18%
50 LEUNG Jin 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
51 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
52 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
53 YOON DYLAN 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
54 DELISLE Jonas P. 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
55 OH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 12%
56 LI Jett 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
57 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 4%
58 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
59 TRUBETSKI David 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
60 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 93% 67% 25% 3%
61 LIU William 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
62 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 15%
63 ARANA Massimo 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
64 SMITH Grant D. 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
65 JIANG Bowang 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
66 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 18%
67 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
68 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
68 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
70 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
71 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
72 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
73 WERWA Griffith 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
74 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
75 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
76 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
77 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
78 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
79 GETSIN Anthony 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
80 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
81 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
82 REICHEL Ezra 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 2%
83 LI Allen 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
84 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
85 GE Daniel 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
86 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
86 MOE Annan 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
88 BOUSSY Luciano 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
89 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
90 KIM Brian 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
91 POPE Alexander 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
92 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
93 CHEZ Nolan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
94 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
95 JORDON Kaleb W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
95 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
97 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
98 MILLER Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
99 WANG Rory 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
100 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
101 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
102 GERRISH William 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
103 LANGEN Carter M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
104 WONG Luke S. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
105 KIM Adrian 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
106 ANDRIC Borna 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
107 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
108 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
109 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
109 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
111 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
111 TEH Ryan 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
113 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
113 JOHNSON Chance 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
115 SAH Steven 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
116 TULYAG Azim 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
117 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
118 WALL Peter M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
119 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
120 XU Ethan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
121 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
122 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
123 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 92% 55% 19% 3% - -
124 GORDON William L. 100% 95% 68% 31% 9% 1% -
125 MAVANI Krishna 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
126 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
127 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
128 FENG Michael 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
129 PARK Rion 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
130 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
131 BOYKO Miles 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1%
132 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
132 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
134 PETERSON Dale 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
135 UPENDER West 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
136 KIM Andy 100% 98% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
137 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
138 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
139 WONG Evan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
140 MARTIN William 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
141 YANG Dylan 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
142 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
143 AMRANI David 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1%
144 BAI Brian 100% 78% 33% 6% - -
145 ROBINS Brennan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
146 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 5%
147 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
148 BIESIADA Jan 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
149 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
150 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
151 KIM Jonah 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
152 TSOI Spencer 100% 93% 47% 12% 1% - -
153 YU Stephen 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
154 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
155 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
156 CAPRA Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
157 KANDAGADLA Rishi 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
158 HE Kyle 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
159 CHOI Simon 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
160 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 99% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
161 CHIN Ryan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
162 VACA Ricardo E. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
162 FAN Yuchen 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
164 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
165 HOLLIS Sean 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
166 LEE Jayden 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
167 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
168 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
169 JURMAN Therin 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% -
169 BATRA Dev 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
171 KRAMER Ryan 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
172 CUTLER Andrew 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
173 COOK Ryan 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
174 CURTIS William K. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
175 MAGALONG William 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
176 HASBUN Christopher 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
177 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 83% 47% 17% 4% - -
178 STORER Alex 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
179 MORRIS Luke 100% 67% 17% 2% - - -
180 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
180 SURESH Rohan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
180 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
183 CREBBS Calvin 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
184 GRAY Caidan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
185 ENOIU Patrick 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
186 RUBIN Max 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
187 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
188 KRAVETZ Benjamin (Ben) D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
189 LACHAPELLE Cole 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
189 SAADO Cesar 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 14% 2%
191 LAO Kevin 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
192 CHO Xzander 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
193 FERENCZ Alexander J. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
194 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
195 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
196 DULAI Angad 100% 59% 13% 1% - - -
197 CLARK Benjamin 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
198 NEICE William 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
199 HUNTER Phillip 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
200 BARTRAM Carter H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
200 HERNANDEZ Marc A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
202 BARRETT Austin 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
202 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
202 THOMSON Hyrum 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
205 SEMP Iain 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
206 TOMASI John 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
207 ARATA Connor 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
208 SCOTT Chase 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
208 LITTLE Alex 100% 25% 2% - - - -
210 MCKEE Calvin 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
211 MILES Greyson 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
212 MAYER Richard 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
212 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
214 SMITH Charles 100% 19% 1% - - - -
215 LEE Daniel 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
216 LINDOW Connor 100% 85% 40% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.