National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Épée

Sunday, July 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Eiry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20% 2%
3 LEWIS Rachel 100% 100% 90% 60% 22% 3%
5 DAVIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 KELBLEY Newt J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
7 LURYE Lina 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
8 SIU Hazel 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
9 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
10 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
11 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
12 MCBRYAN Teresa N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
13 SHAKIR Inaaya 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
14 DUONG Zoey 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
15 DALEY Keira 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
16 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
17 NICHOLS Amber 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
18 SEUK Irene 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
19 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 97% 81% 46% 16% 3% < 1%
20 LANE Leah 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
21 HEINRICHS Aaliyah 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
22 JAMES Ashley 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
23 YOU Joyce 100% 99% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
24 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
25 XU Celina 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
26 HILBY Olivia 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
27 OPIELA Natalie 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
28 LEE Samantha X. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
29 SAZONOVA Alexandra 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
30 FERNLUND Helen 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
31 NAROTZKY Emma 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
32 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
33 LEWIS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
34 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
35 SINHA Zara 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
36 HAYDEN Molly 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 3%
37 PAN Angela 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
38 SIU Maple 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
39 SRIVASTAVA Arya 100% 96% 77% 44% 17% 3% -
40 CHATIKHINE Anastasia 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
41 HOOPER Lucy 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
42 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
43 LORES Alicia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
44 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 7%
45 JARUSHI Amnee 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
46 LIN Victoria T. 100% 99% 82% 45% 13% 1%
47 KING Emily 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 1%
48 DRYSDALE Lita 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
49 NICKOLOV Nora 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
50 CHEN Alicia 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
51 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
52 BHATT Anisha 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
53 AGAON Evelyn 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
54 OLIVEIRA Giovanna 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
55 SAUCEDO Grecia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
56 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
57 KIM Emily 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
58 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
59 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
60 MAY Courtney 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
61 SANLIKOL Suzan 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
62 NOH Rachel 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
63 CHANG Abigail 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
64 BARTON Isabelle 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
65 MACEDON Gianna 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
65 RALSTON Katherine 100% 85% 49% 17% 4% - -
67 LEVKOV Maita 100% 39% 6% - < 1% - -
68 CHAN Allison M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
69 PARKS Eliana 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
70 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
71 MIDYANY Viktoriya 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
72 SIMHADRI Meghana 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
73 GAUR Ishi 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 25% 5%
74 ZHAN Clare 100% 87% 44% 12% 2% - -
75 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
75 BEAMS Alyona 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
75 REYNOLDS Elly 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
78 ELKHATEEB Fajr 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
79 POON Desiree 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
80 OLORVIDA Isabella 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
81 HASIM Eurietta 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
81 LUCENA Giselle 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
83 MOHAMED Faisa 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
84 COLELLA Lauren 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
85 QUINTANILLA Danielle A. 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
86 ARAYE Nasro 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
87 UM KIM Hyun Hee Lorena 100% 74% 26% 4% - -
88 GARCIA Lucy 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
89 THOMAS Meagan R. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -
90 MIHILL Margaret 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
91 FRANCIS Elena 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
92 HART Jenna 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
93 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
94 JONES Veronica C. 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
95 KNUDSEN Ayda Jane 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
96 NEELAM Neha 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
97 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 10%
98 GULLY Wren 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
99 TSUI Zoe 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
100 GARIKIPATI Thansi 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1%
101 PYE Emily 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
102 MANAUGH Calliope 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
103 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
104 JAIN Prisha 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
105 MANCELL Hope 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
106 WHITLEY Alexis 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
107 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 99% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
108 KURDI Dina 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
109 SACHAR Ruhi 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
110 ANDREW Katerina (Tina) 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -
111 TIBBETTS Lily 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
112 RAY Jessica 100% 37% 6% - - -
113 HOLLAND Daisy 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
114 FAKTOR Emily 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
115 HOLLAND Sarah 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
115 MISRA Tara 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
117 KUNIHIRO Ashley 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
118 LOFTIS Hunter 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
119 WIMERT Dahlia 100% 16% 1% - - -
119 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
121 MARTIN Audrey 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.