Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LIOU Solomon | V V V D V | V V V V V | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 2 | PARK Frederick | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 3 | BELLIVEAU Raven | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | KOKENGE Reid | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 5 | PERSAUD Daivik | V V V D V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 6 | MCDERMOTT Brian | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 7 | CHEN Jun Ho | D D V V V D | V V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 8 | CHOI Paul | D D D D D | V V V D | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
| 9 | BEDOR William | V V V V V V | V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 10 | PHO Eric | V V V V D V | V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 11 | JENNINGS Adin | V V D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 12 | STEVENS James | V V V V V D | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 13 | ZHANG William | V V V V D | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 14 | SHEN Max | V V V V D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 15 | SPANO Gideon | V V V V D D | V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 16 | ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) | D D D V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 17 | BELLIVEAU Shane | D V V V V V | D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 18 | ZELIN Sam | V V D V V | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 19 | HOWARD Jackson | V D V V V | D | 1.0 | 4 | +3.0 |
| 20 | LIU Jeremiah W. | D V D V V V | D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 21 | BELLIVEAU Emmett Sparrow | V D V V D | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 22 | WARD Carrington | D D V V V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 23 | SENERTH Ian | V V D V D D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 24 | LONGSTREET Jeffrey | V D D D V | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 25 | RUSSELL Edward | V V D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 26 | FEAGIN Patrick | D D D V V | V D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 27 | MARICI Ryan | V V D D D D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 28 | PALLADINO Ben | D V D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 29 | COSTA Joao | D D V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 30 | ROLLO Emmet | D V D D D | V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 31 | BRASSARD Calvin | D D V D D | V D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 32 | MEAGHER Roderick | D D D V D D | V D | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| 33 | PAN Anthony | V D D D V V | D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 34 | LIN Yufei | D V D V D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 35 | SMOTROFF Joshua | D V D D V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 36 | GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey | D V D D D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 37 | OSISEK Eric | D V D D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 38 | GIORDANO Nathan | D D D D V V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 39 | XIAN Andy | D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 40 | ROUSE Joseph | D D D D V | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 41 | SPRINGER Elijah | D D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | SEILS Aether | D D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 43 | WARD Kofi | D D V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 44 | COLON Atum | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 45 | KOKENGE Chad | D D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 45 | PETE Landon | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.