Nutmeg State Games

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIOU Solomon - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
2 PARK Frederick - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
3 BELLIVEAU Raven - - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
3 KOKENGE Reid - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
5 PERSAUD Daivik - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
6 MCDERMOTT Brian - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
7 CHEN Jun Ho 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
8 CHOI Paul < 1% - 5% 24% 45% 25%
9 BEDOR William - - - - 4% 26% 70%
10 PHO Eric - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
11 JENNINGS Adin - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
12 STEVENS James - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
13 ZHANG William 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
14 SHEN Max - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
15 SPANO Gideon - - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
16 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
17 BELLIVEAU Shane - 2% 14% 39% 34% 10% 1%
18 ZELIN Sam 2% 21% 41% 28% 8% 1%
19 HOWARD Jackson 31% 45% 20% 3% < 1% -
20 LIU Jeremiah W. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
21 BELLIVEAU Emmett Sparrow 3% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1%
22 WARD Carrington 5% 27% 40% 23% 6% -
23 SENERTH Ian 1% 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
24 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
25 RUSSELL Edward 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 4%
26 FEAGIN Patrick 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
27 MARICI Ryan 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
28 PALLADINO Ben 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
29 COSTA Joao 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
30 ROLLO Emmet - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
31 BRASSARD Calvin 63% 32% 5% - - -
32 MEAGHER Roderick - 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 2%
33 PAN Anthony 11% 55% 28% 6% - - -
34 LIN Yufei 24% 46% 25% 5% - -
35 SMOTROFF Joshua 1% 7% 27% 42% 21% 3%
36 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 9% 35% 39% 14% 2% - -
37 OSISEK Eric 2% 20% 46% 26% 6% - -
38 GIORDANO Nathan 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
39 XIAN Andy 7% 31% 38% 20% 4% -
40 ROUSE Joseph 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
41 SPRINGER Elijah 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
42 SEILS Aether 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
43 WARD Kofi 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
44 COLON Atum 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% - -
45 KOKENGE Chad 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
45 PETE Landon 56% 37% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.