Trick or Retreat RYC / RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 8:00 AM

New Jersey Convention and Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANN JAKEROD - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
2 SERAFIN Ben - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
3 ZHAI Avalo - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
3 WANG Evan Haoxuan - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
5 LEE Noah - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
6 SVERDLOV Seth - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
7 ALABI Tobi 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
8 WU Jonathan - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
9 SIMPSON Patrick - - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
10 THAKUR Om S. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
11 MAO Benjamin - 1% 5% 19% 38% 32% 6%
12 VODOVOZOV Denis - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
13 HU Robert J. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
14 ARAVIND Athreya - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
15 LIU Adam 1% 10% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
16 REPIC Oliver 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
17 DUAN Eric - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
18 SONG Troy 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
19 LEIBOWITZ Ryan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
20 KUMAR Aidan - - 1% 10% 33% 39% 16%
21 LAPP Oliver - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
22 SANTOS Antonio K. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
23 ATKINS Levi H. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
24 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
25 KRISHNAN Skanda 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
26 SHA Michael - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
27 XIE Brandon - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
28 SANTOS Francisco M. 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
29 WONG King-Yee 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
30 MEN Junda - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
31 ZHANG William - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
32 SIYANKO Joshua - 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2%
33 GOON Tristan Yang 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
34 ZHANG Ethan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
35 TATE William Isom 3% 25% 38% 24% 8% 1% -
36 STELTENKAMP Neal - 2% 14% 35% 33% 13% 2%
37 GANESAN Mathavan - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
38 TANG Charles 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
39 CHEN Jun Ho - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
40 JIANG Matthew 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
41 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
42 MODANLOU Navid 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
43 HIGGASON Hugh 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% - -
44 KRALICEK Emmet 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
45 YAO Andrew 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
46 PAN Anthony 24% 44% 26% 5% - - -
47 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
48 SONG Changze 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
49 TING Max 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
50 ZHANG Roland 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
51 FEINBERG James Y. 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% - -
52 TESFAYE Elias 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
53 MA Wilson 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
54 SOSNICK Samuel 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
55 LIN Zizhen 13% 39% 35% 10% 1% - -
56 HERTZOG Ben 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.