Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Aiden - - - - 2% 28% 69%
2 JAIN Aditya - - - - 5% 32% 63%
3 VARGAS Bryan - - - 3% 23% 58% 15%
3 VALOUEV Aleksey - - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
5 NGUYEN Martin - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
6 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
7 MYERS Dean - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
8 WOO Christian - - - - 6% 32% 62%
9 CANLAS Nathan - - - - 5% 32% 62%
10 KETTELLE John - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
11 LUH Ethan K. - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
12 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
13 WONG Yuheng Isaac - 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 2%
14 DINSAY Kristjan - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
15 FINNEY Lorenz - - 9% 37% 41% 13%
16 FUKUDA Diego - - 4% 19% 41% 30% 5%
17 PARK Ryan - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
18 DETERING Julian - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
19 LI Matthew - - 2% 14% 38% 38% 8%
20 WU Alistair - - 3% 18% 40% 33% 5%
21 MORROW Brenden - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 7%
22 KRYLTSOV Michael - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
23 LE Jacob W. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
24 PONS Diego - 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
25 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 1% 13% 50% 30% 6% -
26 SETLUR Bhrugu - - 4% 21% 42% 28% 5%
27 KIM Daniel Y. - 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2%
28 LO Preston - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
29 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 1% 10% 34% 39% 15% 1%
30 SAH Steven - 3% 20% 41% 28% 7% 1%
31 SHAGIDANYAN German - - 7% 33% 44% 16%
32 LIPPMAN Sam - - 3% 21% 41% 29% 5%
33 YI William - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
34 LING Eddie - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
34 LI Samuel - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
36 KIM Andrew J. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
37 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) - - 6% 28% 41% 21% 3%
38 EDISON Ansel - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
39 GOBBO Alexander - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
40 REICHEL Ezra - 2% 16% 46% 30% 6% -
41 ZHANG Aaron - - 2% 16% 43% 34% 5%
42 NGUYEN Liam - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
42 CAJERO Luis O. - 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
44 ZHANG Jacob 1% 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
45 NICOLETTI Luca - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
46 PINCHENG Yao 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
47 WONG Evan 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
48 FANHAIJI Musitafa - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
49 CHOI Ethan - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
50 OH Jaden - - 2% 16% 43% 34% 6%
51 HSIAO Nicholas - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
52 ZHOU Ryan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
53 HUANG Jonathan - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
54 NAVARRO Kato 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
55 CHOI Ethan 1% 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
56 ZHANG Matthew - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
57 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - - 5% 21% 42% 31%
58 UPENDER West 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
59 LI Toby - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
60 LAM Nicolas - 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
61 LLIDO Soren - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
62 MA Bryant - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
63 TULYAG Azim 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
64 CHANG Nathan 9% 39% 39% 12% 1% - -
65 WU Trevor - - 6% 27% 41% 22% 3%
66 KIM Aiden - 1% 8% 34% 45% 12% 1%
67 PARK Rion - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
68 SMITH Grant D. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
68 AGRAWAL Niki 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
68 QIU Zhaocheng - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
71 KIM Jonah 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
72 LI Jett - - 6% 25% 40% 25% 4%
73 LEE Jayden - 5% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
74 UZGIRIS Kovas 1% 8% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
75 CHUN Dashel 2% 22% 44% 26% 6% - -
76 PETROV Mikhail 17% 53% 26% 3% - - -
77 NG Andrew 5% 32% 44% 17% 2% - -
78 PARK Sky - 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2%
79 TUAN Evan - 2% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
80 BLAM Matthew 18% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
81 ZHONG Maxwell 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
82 BORG Matthew 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
83 LUI Justin 24% 48% 23% 5% - - -
84 FOY Grant 46% 42% 12% 1% - - -
85 TSAY Jordan R. - 4% 23% 47% 24% 3% -
85 BECKER Ethan 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
87 CHEN Matthew 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
88 MONTGOMERY Georgie 27% 48% 21% 4% - - -
89 MORTON Joshua 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
90 TSOI Spencer 7% 34% 40% 16% 3% - -
91 BAE Eugene 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
92 LIANG Ethan 63% 33% 3% - - -
93 ORNELAS Matteo 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
94 ZHAN Kevin 6% 33% 41% 16% 3% - -
95 NISHIHIRA Tyler 11% 45% 35% 9% 1% - -
96 MAK Osman K. 3% 20% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
96 PETERSON Lucas 2% 22% 50% 23% 3% - -
98 YUE Jackson 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
99 ZHOU Aiden 39% 46% 13% 2% - - -
100 LING Carson Jr 6% 32% 43% 16% 2% - -
101 DAYAL Vedant 20% 48% 26% 5% - - -
102 BARTSCH Henry 6% 32% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
103 WOO Noah 42% 43% 13% 1% - - -
104 TSAO Holden 14% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
105 JIANG Yehong 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
106 ANWEILER Nathan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
107 KUO Jayden 34% 51% 14% 1% - - -
108 YORK Lucas 18% 45% 28% 8% 1% - -
109 FLANAGAN Miles 15% 45% 33% 7% 1% - -
110 ZHANG Jayden 42% 45% 12% 1% - - -
111 KEITH HUDSON 22% 60% 17% 1% - -
112 ARCARA Evan 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
112 SMITH Jeremiah 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
114 YUAN Jonathan 61% 33% 5% - - - -
114 XU Jiajun 9% 39% 38% 12% 1% - -
116 SHORTER David Alexander 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
117 REID Wesley 60% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.