Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 69%
2 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 VARGAS Bryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 15%
3 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
5 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
7 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
8 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
9 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
10 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
11 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
12 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
13 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
14 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
15 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 100% 91% 54% 13%
16 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
17 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
18 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
19 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
20 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
21 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
22 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
23 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
24 PONS Diego 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
25 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 99% 87% 36% 7% -
26 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
27 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
28 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
29 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 16% 1%
30 SAH Steven 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
31 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 16%
32 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
33 YI William 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
34 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
34 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
36 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
37 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 24% 3%
38 EDISON Ansel 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
39 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
40 REICHEL Ezra 100% 100% 98% 82% 36% 7% -
41 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 5%
42 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
42 CAJERO Luis O. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
44 ZHANG Jacob 100% 99% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
45 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
46 PINCHENG Yao 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
47 WONG Evan 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
48 FANHAIJI Musitafa 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
49 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
50 OH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 6%
51 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
52 ZHOU Ryan 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
53 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
54 NAVARRO Kato 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
55 CHOI Ethan 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
56 ZHANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
57 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
58 UPENDER West 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
59 LI Toby 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
60 LAM Nicolas 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
61 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
62 MA Bryant 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
63 TULYAG Azim 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
64 CHANG Nathan 100% 91% 52% 13% 1% - -
65 WU Trevor 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
66 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 13% 1%
67 PARK Rion 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
68 SMITH Grant D. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
68 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
68 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
71 KIM Jonah 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
72 LI Jett 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
73 LEE Jayden 100% 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
74 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
75 CHUN Dashel 100% 98% 76% 32% 6% - -
76 PETROV Mikhail 100% 83% 30% 4% - - -
77 NG Andrew 100% 95% 62% 19% 2% - -
78 PARK Sky 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
79 TUAN Evan 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 13% 1%
80 BLAM Matthew 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
81 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
82 BORG Matthew 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
83 LUI Justin 100% 76% 28% 5% 1% - -
84 FOY Grant 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
85 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 96% 73% 26% 3% -
85 BECKER Ethan 100% 65% 19% 2% - - -
87 CHEN Matthew 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
88 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 73% 25% 4% - - -
89 MORTON Joshua 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
90 TSOI Spencer 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% - -
91 BAE Eugene 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
92 LIANG Ethan 100% 37% 3% - - -
93 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
94 ZHAN Kevin 100% 94% 61% 19% 3% - -
95 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 89% 45% 10% 1% - -
96 MAK Osman K. 100% 97% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
96 PETERSON Lucas 100% 98% 76% 26% 4% - -
98 YUE Jackson 100% 70% 26% 5% 1% - -
99 ZHOU Aiden 100% 61% 15% 2% - - -
100 LING Carson Jr 100% 94% 61% 18% 2% - -
101 DAYAL Vedant 100% 80% 31% 5% - - -
102 BARTSCH Henry 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
103 WOO Noah 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
104 TSAO Holden 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
105 JIANG Yehong 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
106 ANWEILER Nathan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
107 KUO Jayden 100% 66% 15% 2% - - -
108 YORK Lucas 100% 82% 37% 9% 1% - -
109 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 85% 40% 8% 1% - -
110 ZHANG Jayden 100% 58% 13% 1% - - -
111 KEITH HUDSON 100% 78% 19% 2% - -
112 ARCARA Evan 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
112 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
114 YUAN Jonathan 100% 39% 6% - - - -
114 XU Jiajun 100% 91% 51% 14% 1% - -
116 SHORTER David Alexander 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
117 REID Wesley 100% 40% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.