BladeRunner ROC / RJC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - 3% 17% 45% 36%
2 SIU Aiden - - - 1% 7% 40% 52%
3 KIM Brandon J. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
3 LAO Scott E. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
5 EMMER Chase T. - - - - - 5% 95%
6 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - - - 1% 19% 80%
7 XIAO Edward - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
8 CO Dylan - - 1% 8% 35% 47% 9%
9 ZENG Lucas H. - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
9 CANLAS Nathan - - 1% 6% 26% 46% 22%
11 FINNEY Lorenz - 1% 13% 40% 36% 10% -
12 LEVY Jacob M. - - - 6% 33% 60%
13 ELKOUSY Laith H. - - 3% 22% 45% 29% 1%
14 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
15 JAIN Aditya - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
16 LAM Nicolas 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
17 PORRAS Cristian - - 1% 8% 30% 45% 16%
18 NGUYEN Liam - - 4% 22% 48% 24% 2%
19 CHIN Julian S. - - - 5% 25% 50% 20%
20 LI Matthew - 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2%
21 DERRICK Blake - 1% 11% 33% 39% 14% 1%
22 DINSAY Kristjan - - 5% 24% 43% 24% 4%
23 DETERING Julian - - 1% 10% 34% 43% 13%
24 DEANS Donovan - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 7%
25 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - 3% 17% 39% 36% 4%
26 PARK Sky - 5% 27% 42% 21% 4% -
27 LI Avery Peihong 1% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
28 NGUYEN Martin 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 2%
29 SPROWLES Cameron D. - 3% 17% 39% 35% 6%
30 LIU William 2% 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
31 ZHANG Jacob - 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
32 KIM John J. - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17% -
33 RASMUSSEN Sage - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7% -
34 ZHANG Aaron - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
35 WU Alber Y. 3% 18% 40% 30% 8% 1%
36 EDISON Ansel 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4% -
37 LE Jacob W. - - 2% 13% 36% 40% 9%
38 SETLUR Bhrugu - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
39 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 2% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1% -
40 WU Trevor - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
41 KIM Jonah 10% 43% 35% 11% 2% - -
42 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
43 CHOI Ethan - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1%
44 SAITO Braden K. 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
45 PARK Ryan - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
46 SMITH Grant D. 1% 13% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
47 KALAMAS Nikolas 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
47 PINCHENG Yao - 8% 41% 37% 12% 1% -
49 RUBIN Max 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
50 FLANAGAN Miles 46% 40% 12% 1% - - -
51 QIU Zhaocheng 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
52 CHOI Ethan 31% 44% 20% 4% - -
53 CHANG Nathan 28% 49% 20% 3% - - -
54 MONTANO-ANIVARRO Andres 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
55 BORG Matthew 11% 41% 35% 11% 2% - -
56 GREENEBAUM Oliver 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
57 MIETTINEN Pyry 17% 59% 22% 3% - - -
58 LI Richard 5% 28% 41% 22% 4% - -
59 CAJERO Luis O. 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
60 PARK Brandon 5% 27% 41% 23% 4% - -
61 DENG David 13% 48% 31% 7% 1% - -
62 FOY Grant 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
63 COLLIS Tristan M. 6% 31% 41% 19% 3% - -
64 TOYOFUKU Ethan 61% 34% 5% - - - -
65 GILMARTIN Colin 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
66 MORTON Joshua 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
67 PETROV Mikhail 65% 31% 4% - - - -
68 LEE Christopher 72% 27% 1% - - - -
69 KENO Daniel 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.