BladeRunner ROC / RJC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
2 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 52%
3 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
3 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
5 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
6 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
7 XIAO Edward 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
8 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 9%
9 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
9 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
11 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 10% -
12 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
13 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 29% 1%
14 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
15 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
16 LAM Nicolas 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
17 PORRAS Cristian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
18 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26% 2%
19 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 20%
20 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
21 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16% 1%
22 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 4%
23 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
24 DEANS Donovan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 7%
25 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40% 4%
26 PARK Sky 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4% -
27 LI Avery Peihong 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
28 NGUYEN Martin 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
29 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 6%
30 LIU William 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
31 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
32 KIM John J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 17% -
33 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
34 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
35 WU Alber Y. 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1%
36 EDISON Ansel 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4% -
37 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
38 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 6% -
39 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
40 WU Trevor 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
41 KIM Jonah 100% 90% 47% 13% 2% - -
42 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
43 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
44 SAITO Braden K. 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
45 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
46 SMITH Grant D. 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
47 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
47 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 91% 50% 13% 1% -
49 RUBIN Max 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
50 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
51 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
52 CHOI Ethan 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
53 CHANG Nathan 100% 72% 23% 3% - - -
54 MONTANO-ANIVARRO Andres 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
55 BORG Matthew 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
56 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
57 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 83% 25% 3% - - -
58 LI Richard 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% - -
59 CAJERO Luis O. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
60 PARK Brandon 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% - -
61 DENG David 100% 87% 38% 8% 1% - -
62 FOY Grant 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
63 COLLIS Tristan M. 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% - -
64 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 39% 5% - - - -
65 GILMARTIN Colin 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
66 MORTON Joshua 100% 90% 53% 17% 2% - -
67 PETROV Mikhail 100% 35% 5% - - - -
68 LEE Christopher 100% 28% 1% - - - -
69 KENO Daniel 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.