NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Épée

Monday, January 1, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 66%
3 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
5 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
6 WANG Justin 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 2%
7 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 12%
8 JIANG Ryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
9 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
10 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 7%
11 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 37%
12 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 4%
13 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
14 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
15 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 96% 66% 26% 4% -
16 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 5%
17 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
18 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
19 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 46%
20 WANG Xiangdong 100% 99% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
21 SHA Michael 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 10%
22 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 23%
23 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
24 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 98% 78% 29% 1%
25 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
26 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
27 ZHANG Roland 100% 97% 63% 20% 3% -
28 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
29 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 98% 82% 44% 10% 1%
30 MACNEILL Owen 100% 97% 72% 30% 5% -
31 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 15%
32 WILSON Ian G. 100% 97% 66% 23% 3% -
33 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
33 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11%
35 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
36 SANTOS Felipe 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
37 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
38 PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
39 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 89% 52% 13% 1%
40 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
41 SONG Troy 100% 99% 82% 42% 9% -
42 BARNHART William C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
43 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
44 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 92% 55% 15% 1%
45 MASSE Jack 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
46 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 1%
47 CRONIN Darragh J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 12%
48 CHEN Allen 100% 94% 62% 16% 1% -
49 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% -
50 MORI Seneca 100% 90% 54% 14% 1% -
51 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 95% 66% 22% 2%
52 QUINLAN Sean 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
53 HE Xiangrui 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% -
54 MEN Junda 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
55 ZHANG William 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 2%
55 HU Anton 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
57 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
58 HU Andrew 100% 98% 81% 31% 4% -
59 CAFASSO Martin 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
60 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
61 KELLEY Hayden 100% 93% 56% 17% 2% -
62 CAMBIAS Robert I. 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
63 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 99% 86% 47% 6% -
64 MCCALL Aidan 100% 95% 64% 22% 3% -
65 WHITE Aidan 100% 49% 11% 1% < 1% -
66 WU Chi Kuan 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
67 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1%
68 YIN Chujun 100% 41% 7% < 1% - -
69 TORRES Gianni 100% 100% 95% 67% 14% 1%
70 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 99% 89% 43% 7% -
71 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 99% 87% 43% 2%
72 DOWD Peter L. 100% 86% 44% 9% - -
73 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 7%
74 PAN Anthony 100% 63% 14% 1% - -
75 MARTONE Matt L. 100% 100% 93% 66% 23% 3%
76 MULLARKEY Edward (Ed) 100% 100% 94% 62% 16% 1%
77 DURKIN Hudson 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
78 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 97% 65% 24% 5% - -
79 GOON Sin Tong 100% 92% 47% 12% 1% -
80 HERRICK Michael 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
81 WANG Zhenhai 100% 24% 2% - - -
82 SENERTH Ian J. 100% 98% 77% 36% 7% -
83 ZHOU Anping 100% 77% 28% 3% - -
83 SULKIS Adam 100% 30% 3% - - -
85 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% -
86 KAIN Brad 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
87 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 99% 86% 48% 12% 1%
88 LI Ray 100% 30% 3% - - -
88 FENG Haozhen 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
90 PESSIN Nadav 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
91 ZHANG Wei 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
92 LIN Yufei 100% 66% 18% 2% - -
93 KIM Nathan 100% 86% 31% 5% - -
93 SEILS Aether 100% 36% 5% - - -
95 HE Yurui 100% 20% 1% - - -
96 KOURE Andrew C. 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% -
97 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
98 MARINI Davide 100% 94% 60% 18% 2% -
99 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 100% 61% 16% 1% - -
99 YAO Jack 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
101 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 64% 15% 1% - -
101 ZHANG Franklin 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
103 MASSE Dean 100% 20% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.