NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Épée

Monday, January 1, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Joseph - - - 3% 25% 71%
2 HONDOR Robert D. - - - 2% 32% 66%
3 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - - 10% 89%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 2% 14% 46% 39%
5 YU Colin - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
6 WANG Justin - 6% 25% 42% 25% 2%
7 ZHANG William - - 7% 31% 49% 12%
8 JIANG Ryan - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
9 GAO Daniel - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
10 ROLLO Emmett H. - 3% 16% 37% 36% 7%
11 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - - 1% 10% 52% 37%
12 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. - 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
13 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 4% 27% 69%
14 MACZIK Adam W. - - - 2% 19% 79%
15 STELTENKAMP Neal 4% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
16 WANG zhixing (Daniel) - 2% 16% 39% 37% 5%
17 LAI Boden - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
18 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
19 ZHAO Corey - - - 7% 47% 46%
20 WANG Xiangdong 1% 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
21 SHA Michael - 1% 11% 36% 41% 10%
22 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 1% 14% 62% 23%
23 LAI Aedin - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
24 SAVORETTI Francesco - 2% 20% 49% 28% 1%
25 WU Jonathan - - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
26 ALFAIATE Lucas - - - 6% 33% 60%
27 ZHANG Roland 3% 34% 43% 18% 3% -
28 GOON Tristan Yang 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
29 SANTOS Antonio K. 2% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1%
30 MACNEILL Owen 3% 25% 41% 25% 5% -
31 MCDERMOTT Brian - 1% 9% 33% 43% 15%
32 WILSON Ian G. 3% 31% 43% 20% 3% -
33 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
33 BEALS Alden - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
35 DOYON - VERDON William - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
36 SANTOS Felipe - 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
37 ZEBROSE Cordell B. - - 6% 26% 45% 24%
38 PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
39 XIE Brandon - 11% 37% 39% 12% 1%
40 GREGORY Abram - 4% 21% 42% 28% 5%
41 SONG Troy 1% 17% 41% 33% 9% -
42 BARNHART William C. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
43 BELLIVEAU Shane - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
44 SANTOS Francisco M. - 8% 37% 40% 14% 1%
45 MASSE Jack 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
46 DURKIN Tristan E. 1% 7% 29% 42% 20% 1%
47 CRONIN Darragh J. - 1% 9% 34% 43% 12%
48 CHEN Allen 6% 32% 46% 15% 1% -
49 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 2% 22% 43% 27% 6% -
50 MORI Seneca 10% 36% 40% 13% 1% -
51 XIA Dashan - 5% 29% 44% 20% 2%
52 QUINLAN Sean - 4% 23% 39% 27% 7%
53 HE Xiangrui 5% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
54 MEN Junda - 5% 22% 40% 28% 6%
55 ZHANG William 1% 10% 34% 38% 15% 2%
55 HU Anton - 10% 33% 38% 17% 3%
57 HU Robert J. - 2% 14% 38% 37% 10%
58 HU Andrew 2% 17% 49% 27% 4% -
59 CAFASSO Martin - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
60 BRASSARD Calvin 4% 26% 42% 23% 5% -
61 KELLEY Hayden 7% 37% 40% 15% 2% -
62 CAMBIAS Robert I. 7% 35% 39% 16% 3% -
63 STEVENSON Ryan 1% 13% 39% 40% 6% -
64 MCCALL Aidan 5% 31% 42% 19% 3% -
65 WHITE Aidan 51% 38% 10% 1% < 1% -
66 WU Chi Kuan 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
67 LIU Jeremiah W. 3% 19% 38% 31% 9% 1%
68 YIN Chujun 59% 34% 6% < 1% - -
69 TORRES Gianni - 5% 28% 53% 13% 1%
70 ZELIN Sam J. 1% 11% 46% 36% 7% -
71 BUSH Thomas - 1% 12% 44% 41% 2%
72 DOWD Peter L. 14% 41% 35% 9% - -
73 FERREIRA Noah J. - 1% 13% 38% 40% 7%
74 PAN Anthony 37% 49% 13% 1% - -
75 MARTONE Matt L. - 6% 28% 42% 21% 3%
76 MULLARKEY Edward (Ed) - 6% 32% 46% 15% 1%
77 DURKIN Hudson 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
78 BRUEGGEMANN Max 3% 32% 41% 20% 4% - -
79 GOON Sin Tong 8% 45% 35% 10% 1% -
80 HERRICK Michael 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% 1%
81 WANG Zhenhai 76% 21% 2% - - -
82 SENERTH Ian J. 2% 20% 41% 29% 7% -
83 ZHOU Anping 23% 49% 25% 3% - -
83 SULKIS Adam 70% 28% 3% - - -
85 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% -
86 KAIN Brad 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
87 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 1% 13% 38% 36% 11% 1%
88 LI Ray 70% 27% 3% - - -
88 FENG Haozhen 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
90 PESSIN Nadav 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
91 ZHANG Wei 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
92 LIN Yufei 34% 48% 16% 2% - -
93 KIM Nathan 14% 55% 26% 4% - -
93 SEILS Aether 64% 31% 5% - - -
95 HE Yurui 80% 18% 1% - - -
96 KOURE Andrew C. 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
97 WOLFORD Benjamin 46% 44% 9% 1% - -
98 MARINI Davide 6% 34% 42% 16% 2% -
99 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 39% 46% 14% 1% - -
99 YAO Jack 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
101 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 36% 49% 14% 1% - -
101 ZHANG Franklin 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
103 MASSE Dean 80% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.