The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU Chloe - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
2 SAAKIANTS Ilana - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
3 ANDRUS Allie - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
3 LEE Zoe 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
5 CHEN Madeline - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
6 TAYLOR Reagan - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
7 VIJAY Vaishnavi - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
8 SUN Milly - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
9 OLELE Ifechi - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 22%
10 NAZIR Farah 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
11 YANG Hannah - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
12 LI Ariel 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
13 KIM Abigail - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
14 CAYETANO Audrey - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
15 FAN Joy - 1% 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
16 CHEN Stephanie - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
17 LI Anna - - - 3% 16% 44% 37%
18 CHEN Laila - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
19 MOKRETSOV Leah - 6% 26% 41% 24% 2% -
20 CHOI Arianna - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
21 LEE Iona 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
22 BUNCH Helena 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
23 MEGGERS Arya 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
24 CAO Cynthia 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
25 JIANG Ziqing - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
26 JUBILEE Beata 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
27 ZHAO Crystal 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
28 FURMAN Elizabeth 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
29 GOFMAN Anastasia 1% 6% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
30 VILLER Alice - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
31 OLUYOLE Isabella - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
32 LONG Rose 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
33 XU Aasta 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% -
34 CHANG Hannah - - - 1% 13% 47% 39%
35 YANG Arianna - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
36 QI Chelsie - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
37 WANG Emily 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
38 HAN Emma 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
39 KOTHARI Elina 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
40 YANG Letitia - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
41 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
42 LI Allison 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
43 WILSON Addison 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
44 REN Harper 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
45 MOSENG Hana 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
46 MACAL Zoey - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
47 JIANG Ziqi 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
47 CHEN Reina 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
49 WANG Hailie 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
50 FAN Olivia 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
51 KASHUBA Mila 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
52 LEE Nicole 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
53 FRANGER Emma 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
53 LAI Juliet - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7% -
55 PEKKER Amina 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
56 DONE Kennedy 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
57 YAO Astrid 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
58 CHONG Emma 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
59 ZHAO Rachel 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
60 MISHIMA Quinn 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
61 SHI Emma 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
62 HAO katherine 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
63 WANG Katherine 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.