Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
2 SAAKIANTS Ilana 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
3 ANDRUS Allie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
3 LEE Zoe 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
5 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
6 TAYLOR Reagan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
7 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
8 SUN Milly 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
9 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 22%
10 NAZIR Farah 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
11 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
12 LI Ariel 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
13 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
14 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
15 FAN Joy 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
16 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
17 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
18 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
19 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 2% -
20 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
21 LEE Iona 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
22 BUNCH Helena 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
23 MEGGERS Arya 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
24 CAO Cynthia 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
25 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
26 JUBILEE Beata 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
27 ZHAO Crystal 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
28 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
29 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
30 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
31 OLUYOLE Isabella 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
32 LONG Rose 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
33 XU Aasta 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
34 CHANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 39%
35 YANG Arianna 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
36 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
37 WANG Emily 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
38 HAN Emma 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
39 KOTHARI Elina 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
40 YANG Letitia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
41 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
42 LI Allison 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
43 WILSON Addison 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
44 REN Harper 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
45 MOSENG Hana 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
46 MACAL Zoey 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
47 JIANG Ziqi 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
47 CHEN Reina 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
49 WANG Hailie 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
50 FAN Olivia 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
51 KASHUBA Mila 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
52 LEE Nicole 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
53 FRANGER Emma 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
53 LAI Juliet 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7% -
55 PEKKER Amina 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
56 DONE Kennedy 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
57 YAO Astrid 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
58 CHONG Emma 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
59 ZHAO Rachel 100% 73% 33% 8% 1% - -
60 MISHIMA Quinn 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
61 SHI Emma 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
62 HAO katherine 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
63 WANG Katherine 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.