MoDuel Open Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Modern Duelists Fencing Academy - Elkton, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 MANN JAKEROD 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 DICKENS Robert W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
3 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
5 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 7%
6 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
7 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
8 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
9 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
10 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
11 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
12 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
13 LAPP Oliver 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
14 ROBITZSKI David R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
15 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
16 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
17 SAFKO Jeffrey A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
18 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
19 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
20 YI Nathan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
21 PFEIL Shawn 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3% -
22 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
23 LENNON Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
24 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
25 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% - -
26 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 100% 93% 47% 11% 1% - -
27 ANAFI Ari 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
28 SOKALSKI Edwin 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
29 WOOD William A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
30 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 99% 88% 41% 9% 1% -
31 CZACHOROWSKI Mark 100% 66% 14% 1% - - -
32 WOHNER Kenneth S. 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
33 CUCCIARRE Pace 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12% 1% -
34 FAKTOR Emily 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% - -
35 KRALICEK Emmet 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
36 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
37 MURPHY Megan 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - - -
38 BJERKNESS Riley 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% - -
39 RITTER Brooklyn 100% 66% 20% 2% - - -
40 SAFKO Liubov V. 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
41 STANEV POTTS Theodore 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
42 PARK Patrick 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% - - -
43 MADANS David 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
44 ALLEN Sarah 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.