The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

NJFA RJCC & RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 3:00 PM

MAPLEWOOD , NJ - MAPLEWOOD, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
2 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
3 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
5 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
6 PAOLINI Nathan R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
7 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
8 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
9 LIBSON Tazman 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
10 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
11 WU Jason 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
12 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
13 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
14 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
15 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
16 MUNROE Shane 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
17 GARCIA-ROGERS Kyle J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
18 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
19 WU Joseph 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
20 WYATT Seth 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
21 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
22 CRONIN Darragh J. 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
23 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
24 LAI Coby 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
25 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
26 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
27 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 11% 1%
28 WANG Eric S 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
29 ROWE Jason 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
30 WIEDERHORN ethan 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
31 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
32 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 9% 1%
33 WADE Grayson 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
34 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 13%
35 MAGDA Daniel 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
36 HE Lawrence 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
37 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
38 MAAS Sean H. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
39 LIU Jack 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
40 MISHIMA Torata 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
40 CHEN Austin 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
42 GROSSMAN August 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
43 PRAKASH Nikhil 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
44 HA Daniel 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
45 ALVANEZ Franki 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
46 KUMAR Aidan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
47 CONNELLY Asa D. 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
48 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
49 CRANN Sean 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% - -
50 COTAJ Andrew 100% 98% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
51 JENNINGS Adin 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
52 KUTTRUS Max D. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
53 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
54 LI Jeffrey 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
55 GAO Daniel 100% 21% 2% - - - -
56 STANLEY Dominick 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.