March NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Monday, March 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - - 10% 89%
2 BUDOVSKYI Borys - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 SENIC Lucas - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 NGUYEN Martin - - - - 3% 26% 71%
5 CHEN Matthew - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
6 LEE Christopher T. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
7 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
8 FUKUDA Diego - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
9 TAN Aidan - - - - 7% 45% 47%
9 KIAYIAS Aris - - - 2% 16% 45% 36%
9 LIN Youlong - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
12 KIM Daniel Y. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
12 PARRISH Evan - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
14 YAO Bradley - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
15 LEE Brendan - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
16 SUAREZ Adrian - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
17 LING Eddie - - - - 4% 26% 69%
18 QIAN Jason H. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
19 NICOLETTI Luca - - - 2% 22% 76%
20 DERRICK Blake - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
21 PARK Rion - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
22 GUTH Joseph - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
23 XU Andy P. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
24 LIU Ethan - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
25 MORROW Brenden - - 2% 13% 37% 39% 9%
26 ZHANG Aaron - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
27 TSE Ngon Yin Anson - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
28 FEDELI Francesco - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
29 TAN Junghyun - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
30 CHOI Ethan - - 1% 6% 28% 45% 21%
31 CHUANG Oscar - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
32 DOELL Ethan - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
33 LIU Derek - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
34 TANG Alexander L. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
35 MAZAHERI Fletcher - 1% 4% 18% 37% 33% 7%
36 ZHAO Adam - - 1% 12% 46% 42%
37 WANDJI Noah - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
38 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. - - 5% 24% 43% 24% 3%
38 LI Richard - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
40 CHENG Ethan - - - 5% 23% 46% 26%
41 VADEN Oliver - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
41 SHENG Dalton - - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
43 NEICE William - 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
44 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
45 ZHOU Ryan - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
46 MAO Lucas - - 3% 17% 41% 31% 7%
47 BORG Matthew - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
47 YU William - 6% 26% 41% 22% 5% -
49 BAE Eugene - - 1% 10% 36% 42% 11%
50 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - - 1% 11% 37% 41% 9%
51 SIMONOV Timofey - - 2% 18% 50% 29%
52 ZHANG Jacob - 1% 11% 35% 39% 12%
53 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 6% 29% 45% 20%
54 LE Jacob H. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
55 LO Preston - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
56 TOOMRE Kai - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
57 CHOI Benjamin - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3%
58 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
59 GHEDINI Luca - - 2% 13% 37% 37% 11%
60 LU Kevin - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 18%
61 SISINNI Leonardo - 1% 10% 28% 38% 20% 2%
62 CHONG Tristan - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
63 RASMUSSEN Sage - - - 3% 20% 44% 32%
64 TWEMLOW Sacha - 1% 10% 29% 39% 19% 3%
65 CHEN Kyle P. - - - 3% 16% 43% 39%
66 BORKOWSKI Olgierd - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
67 ZHENG Marcus - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
68 ROZALSKI Eli - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
69 WU Alber Y. - - - - 6% 35% 58%
70 ALLEN Henry G. - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
71 CHANG Bernard - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
71 YI William - - - 1% 12% 52% 34%
73 HAYES Stewart - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 1%
74 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - - 7% 34% 54% 4%
75 HARROCH Faustin 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 3% -
76 LI Edison M. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 1%
77 HUA Aaron - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
78 LU Nathan - - 4% 21% 44% 27% 4%
79 RAJ Jay - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
80 YU Kinton - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
81 ZHAO Nathan - - 3% 19% 45% 31% 3%
82 CHEN Hanson - - - 5% 24% 47% 23%
83 LI Bradley - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
84 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - 1% 9% 37% 46% 7%
85 CHANG Jonathan - 3% 17% 40% 32% 8%
86 LI Toby - - 2% 13% 37% 37% 12%
87 RAUTUREAU Arthur - 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
87 KUE Temujin - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
87 PARK David 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
90 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
90 SHANNON Jack - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 2%
92 ONG Nicholas - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
93 CHO Xzander - 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4%
94 KO Caleb - 1% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
95 CHEN Ethan - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
96 HAN Alexander 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
97 YUE Jackson - 4% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
97 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
99 CHENG Logan - - 2% 15% 43% 36% 4%
100 DESERANNO Leander - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
101 DENG David 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
102 XIE Yimo 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
103 LING Carson Jr - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
104 CHANG Jeremy - 2% 13% 37% 36% 11% 1%
105 BIELER Mason - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
106 BI Ryan - 6% 29% 45% 18% 1%
107 OZAWA Taishi - 5% 32% 43% 18% 2%
108 PARK William 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1%
109 WONG Evan - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
110 LU Alex - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
111 ZHONG Maxwell - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
112 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
113 JIN Honglim 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
114 MARTIN Darius - 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
115 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
116 CHANG Ethan You Jia - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
117 YANG Tate - 5% 24% 42% 24% 5% -
118 MCKEE Calvin - 1% 16% 46% 31% 5% -
119 PLUMMER Waylon 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
120 SHIN Noah 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
121 CHOI Elliot 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
122 LU Mengdi - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
123 YOU Alan - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
124 WANG Tiger 1% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
125 LI Lucas - 6% 28% 47% 17% 2%
126 YE Jerry 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
127 LU Jingyi - 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
128 WONG Jacob W. 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
129 CHOI Ethan - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
130 ZHOU Shawn - - 7% 35% 45% 12% -
131 ZHANG Jayden 1% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
132 PETROV Mikhail 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
133 CHUN Dashel 2% 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
134 YU Eric - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
135 UPENDER West - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
136 SICAT Justin 15% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
137 WANG Li 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
137 GAO Andrew 1% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
139 GERRISH William - 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3%
140 SHAW Spencer 1% 12% 37% 37% 12% 1% -
141 ONIK Ari N. 1% 9% 31% 40% 16% 2% -
142 LEE Mason - 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
143 YANG Charles - 1% 8% 26% 39% 24% 2%
144 MANIKTALA Suvir 19% 41% 30% 8% 1% - -
145 ZHANG Lucas 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
146 TEH Tang-Ngu 2% 18% 49% 26% 5% - -
146 DIAZ Gabriel 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1% -
148 PAN Ethan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
149 GANAPATHI Eshan 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
149 ZHANG GAVIN J - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
151 FOY Grant 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
152 HUYNH Matthew 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
153 QIAN Zekai 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
154 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
155 YU ShiYu (Henry) - 2% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
156 LI Daniel 3% 23% 44% 25% 4% -
157 MA Oliver 29% 46% 21% 3% - -
158 KIM Daniel 23% 58% 17% 2% - -
159 NABASSOUA Djibril 5% 28% 45% 20% 2% -
160 MARTIRE Luca 1% 12% 37% 36% 12% 1% -
161 LYU Mingye 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% - -
162 XIE Wenxi - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 2%
163 HOU Gaven 1% 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
164 DHOKTE Neev 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
164 CHEN Fengyi(James) 1% 22% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
166 CHEN Anson 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
166 FANG Haoyu - 3% 18% 41% 31% 7% -
168 PARK Jayden 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
169 GRIGORIEV Michael - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
170 BAI Austin 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
171 KRZYWON Dylan 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
172 ZMUDA Aiden 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
173 HE Bourne 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
173 SU Preston 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
173 SU Desmond 5% 22% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
176 CHANG Joseph 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
176 JIN Xuechong Daniel 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% - -
178 OH Christopher - 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
179 ZHANG Raphael 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
180 ULYSSE Jacob 12% 35% 35% 14% 3% - -
181 HE Ian 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
182 CHEN Jason 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
183 QU Zhida (richard) 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
184 WU Thomas 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
185 KIM Seoheul 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
186 GE Felix Fei - 4% 29% 43% 21% 3%
187 SUNDSTROM Wren 15% 46% 32% 7% - -
188 XU Nathan 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
189 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 6% 32% 40% 19% 3% -
190 PE Noah 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
191 XING Lucas 17% 49% 28% 6% - - -
192 LIANG Ethan 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
193 TURNER Finian 8% 35% 39% 16% 3% - -
194 GUO Austin 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% - -
194 WANG sicheng 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
196 YANG Arthur 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
197 YU ShiLin (Harry) 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
197 KIM Gene 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
197 FRASER Rhys 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
200 QI Ethan 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
201 BHANOT Arjun 33% 51% 15% 1% - - -
202 MIRON Ioachim 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
202 TSANG Kwok Kuen 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
204 POPOKH Luca 4% 32% 41% 19% 4% - -
204 LEUNG Tsun Yin (TY) 1% 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
204 LIN Travis 13% 59% 24% 4% - - -
207 LEE Abin 6% 40% 39% 14% 2% - -
208 ZHENG Lerui 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
209 THOMAS Noah 49% 41% 10% 1% - - -
209 WEI Winston 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
209 XING Ocean 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
212 BRADY Benjamin 3% 21% 43% 27% 6% - -
213 GUO Joey 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
213 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 1% 9% 29% 39% 18% 3% -
215 GRIGORYAN Erik 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% - -
216 LAM Kirin 27% 48% 21% 3% - - -
217 MAO Runxian 2% 18% 46% 28% 6% - -
218 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
219 SHEN Alaric 62% 33% 5% - - - -
220 PAINTER Zachary 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
221 CHIANG Aiden 16% 53% 26% 5% - - -
222 KASHURKIN Georgy 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
223 MAK Ryder 48% 40% 10% 1% - - -
224 BACON Maxwell 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
225 BANUELOS Dario 62% 34% 3% - - -
226 CHA James 18% 47% 27% 7% 1% - -
227 OLLILA Gideon 28% 48% 21% 3% - -
228 ZHANG Jason 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
229 HONG Edwin 31% 45% 21% 3% - -
229 ZHENG Austin 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
231 BLACK Henry 44% 43% 12% 1% - - -
231 HILL Kai 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
233 IYOKI Sean 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
233 WONNEBERG Luke 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
233 KIM Andrew 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
233 HE Gary 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
233 WANG Albert 52% 37% 9% 1% - - -
238 DEISHER Wesley 42% 47% 11% 1% - - -
239 RIOS Elai 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% - -
239 PUNG Corbin 61% 34% 5% - - - -
239 TRUJILLO Jonah 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
242 BEDWORTH Alistair 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
243 LEE Aeden 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
244 SMITH Bennett 6% 32% 47% 14% 2% - -
244 LEE Christopher 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
244 CHOI Hunter 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
244 HART-SYED declan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
248 YANG Steve 18% 44% 31% 7% 1% - -
248 KIAYIAS Alexander 16% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
250 PETERSON Solon 71% 26% 3% - - - -
250 QIU Yiran 89% 10% - - - - -
252 SERBAN Aaron 79% 20% - - - - -
252 CORNWALL Benjamin 73% 24% 3% - - - -
252 CAO Sean 55% 37% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.