March NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Monday, March 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
5 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
6 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
8 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
9 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 47%
9 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
9 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
12 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
12 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
14 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
15 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
16 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
17 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
18 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
19 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
20 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
21 PARK Rion 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
22 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
23 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
24 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
25 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
26 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
27 TSE Ngon Yin Anson 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
28 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
29 TAN Junghyun 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
30 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
31 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
32 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
33 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
34 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
35 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 7%
36 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
37 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
38 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 3%
38 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
40 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
41 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
41 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
43 NEICE William 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
44 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
45 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
46 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
47 BORG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
47 YU William 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% -
49 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11%
50 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
51 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 29%
52 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 12%
53 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
54 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
55 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
56 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
57 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3%
58 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
59 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 11%
60 LU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
61 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 2%
62 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% 1%
63 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
64 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 3%
65 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
66 BORKOWSKI Olgierd 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
67 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
68 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
69 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
70 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
71 CHANG Bernard 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
71 YI William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 34%
73 HAYES Stewart 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
74 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58% 4%
75 HARROCH Faustin 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3% -
76 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 1%
77 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 9% 1%
78 LU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 4%
79 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 14%
80 YU Kinton 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
81 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 3%
82 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 23%
83 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
84 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 7%
85 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
86 LI Toby 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12%
87 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
87 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
87 PARK David 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 7% 1%
90 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
90 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 2%
92 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
93 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
94 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
95 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
96 HAN Alexander 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
97 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
97 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
99 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 4%
100 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
101 DENG David 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
102 XIE Yimo 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
103 LING Carson Jr 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 4%
104 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12% 1%
105 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
106 BI Ryan 100% 100% 93% 64% 19% 1%
107 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 95% 64% 21% 2%
108 PARK William 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
109 WONG Evan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
110 LU Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
111 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 18% 2%
112 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
113 JIN Honglim 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
114 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
115 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
116 CHANG Ethan You Jia 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
117 YANG Tate 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
118 MCKEE Calvin 100% 100% 99% 83% 37% 5% -
119 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
120 SHIN Noah 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
121 CHOI Elliot 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
122 LU Mengdi 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
123 YOU Alan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
124 WANG Tiger 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
125 LI Lucas 100% 100% 94% 66% 19% 2%
126 YE Jerry 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
127 LU Jingyi 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1%
128 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
129 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
130 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 100% 92% 58% 12% -
131 ZHANG Jayden 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
132 PETROV Mikhail 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
133 CHUN Dashel 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
134 YU Eric 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
135 UPENDER West 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
136 SICAT Justin 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
137 WANG Li 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
137 GAO Andrew 100% 99% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
139 GERRISH William 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
140 SHAW Spencer 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 1% -
141 ONIK Ari N. 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 2% -
142 LEE Mason 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
143 YANG Charles 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26% 2%
144 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% - -
145 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
146 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 98% 80% 31% 5% - -
146 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1% -
148 PAN Ethan 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
149 GANAPATHI Eshan 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
149 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
151 FOY Grant 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
152 HUYNH Matthew 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
153 QIAN Zekai 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
154 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
155 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
156 LI Daniel 100% 97% 74% 30% 4% -
157 MA Oliver 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
158 KIM Daniel 100% 77% 19% 2% - -
159 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 95% 67% 22% 3% -
160 MARTIRE Luca 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1% -
161 LYU Mingye 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
162 XIE Wenxi 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
163 HOU Gaven 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
164 DHOKTE Neev 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
164 CHEN Fengyi(James) 100% 99% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
166 CHEN Anson 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
166 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% -
168 PARK Jayden 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
169 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
170 BAI Austin 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
171 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
172 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
173 HE Bourne 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
173 SU Preston 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
173 SU Desmond 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1% -
176 CHANG Joseph 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
176 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% - -
178 OH Christopher 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
179 ZHANG Raphael 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
180 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
181 HE Ian 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
182 CHEN Jason 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
183 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
184 WU Thomas 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
185 KIM Seoheul 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
186 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 96% 68% 24% 3%
187 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 85% 40% 8% - -
188 XU Nathan 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
189 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 94% 62% 22% 3% -
190 PE Noah 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
191 XING Lucas 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% - -
192 LIANG Ethan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
193 TURNER Finian 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% - -
194 GUO Austin 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
194 WANG sicheng 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
196 YANG Arthur 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
197 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
197 KIM Gene 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
197 FRASER Rhys 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
200 QI Ethan 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
201 BHANOT Arjun 100% 67% 16% 1% - - -
202 MIRON Ioachim 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
202 TSANG Kwok Kuen 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
204 POPOKH Luca 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% - -
204 LEUNG Tsun Yin (TY) 100% 99% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
204 LIN Travis 100% 87% 28% 4% - - -
207 LEE Abin 100% 94% 55% 16% 2% - -
208 ZHENG Lerui 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% - -
209 THOMAS Noah 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
209 WEI Winston 100% 84% 41% 11% 1% - -
209 XING Ocean 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
212 BRADY Benjamin 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% - -
213 GUO Joey 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
213 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 4% -
215 GRIGORYAN Erik 100% 87% 44% 10% 1% - -
216 LAM Kirin 100% 73% 25% 3% - - -
217 MAO Runxian 100% 98% 80% 34% 6% - -
218 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
219 SHEN Alaric 100% 38% 5% - - - -
220 PAINTER Zachary 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
221 CHIANG Aiden 100% 84% 31% 5% - - -
222 KASHURKIN Georgy 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
223 MAK Ryder 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
224 BACON Maxwell 100% 84% 41% 11% 1% - -
225 BANUELOS Dario 100% 38% 3% - - -
226 CHA James 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% - -
227 OLLILA Gideon 100% 72% 24% 3% - -
228 ZHANG Jason 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
229 HONG Edwin 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
229 ZHENG Austin 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
231 BLACK Henry 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
231 HILL Kai 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
233 IYOKI Sean 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
233 WONNEBERG Luke 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
233 KIM Andrew 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
233 HE Gary 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
233 WANG Albert 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
238 DEISHER Wesley 100% 58% 12% 1% - - -
239 RIOS Elai 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
239 PUNG Corbin 100% 39% 6% - - - -
239 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
242 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
243 LEE Aeden 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
244 SMITH Bennett 100% 94% 62% 16% 2% - -
244 LEE Christopher 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
244 CHOI Hunter 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
244 HART-SYED declan 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
248 YANG Steve 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% - -
248 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
250 PETERSON Solon 100% 29% 3% - - - -
250 QIU Yiran 100% 11% - - - - -
252 SERBAN Aaron 100% 21% - - - - -
252 CORNWALL Benjamin 100% 27% 3% - - - -
252 CAO Sean 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.