2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XIA Dashan - - 1% 8% 40% 52%
2 SUN Lucas - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
3 CHEN Jayden - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 BOUDREAUX James - - - 5% 31% 63%
5 DOUBOV Andrew - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
6 NORMILE Nicholas - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
7 ORESKOVIC Olivier - 5% 23% 42% 27% 4%
8 AHMED Mohsen - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
9 LI Jade 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
10 TRAN Spencer - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
11 ZENG Andrew - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
12 GAO Victor 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
13 SOLARZ Arthur 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
14 HELMY Richard - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9%
15 GLUSHKOV David 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
16 NILSEN Mark 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
17 RADZIKOWSKI Sam - 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
18 ZHAO Pierce - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
19 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
20 DYCKMAN Benjamin 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
21 SINGLETON Aman - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
22 KIM Henry - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
23 LI Ryan 3% 22% 43% 25% 5% -
24 WANG Charles - 4% 23% 42% 27% 4%
25 WANG-SONG Evan - 3% 19% 42% 29% 6%
26 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - 1% 9% 34% 42% 14%
27 CZEPLA Andrew - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
28 SONG Aidan 1% 13% 36% 38% 11% 1%
29 GIORDANO Zach 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
30 OCONNOR Paul 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
31 TESFAYE Elias - 5% 23% 40% 27% 6%
32 PAN Anthony 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
33 SZCZAPA Lukas - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
34 CAFASSO Alexander 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
35 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 3%
36 ZHANG Jonathan - 6% 26% 41% 23% 3%
37 CHEN Edward 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
38 TSIEN Richard 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
39 CUELLAR Markus 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
40 LI Ray 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
41 DODIN Daniel M. - 1% 6% 27% 49% 18%
42 WHITE Jackson 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
43 LUR'YE Killian 3% 29% 41% 22% 5% -
43 WU Matthew 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% -
43 NG Nico 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1%
43 TOMASZEWSKI Benjamin 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
47 ROSIELLO Francesco 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
48 SHAPIRO Samuel 5% 30% 42% 20% 3% -
49 NOOL Alexander 1% 12% 34% 36% 16% 2%
50 FOGEL Jake 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
51 CHEN Daniel 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
52 HE Yurui (Bronto) 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
53 LIU Jeremy 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
53 TOPRANI Valmik 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
55 BRESLAV Asher 19% 46% 28% 6% 1% -
56 SMITH Theo 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
57 YU David 9% 35% 39% 15% 2% -
58 LEE Kalvin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
59 WANG Marcus 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% -
60 LEE Nicholas 41% 44% 14% 2% - -
61 CHEN Tianjun 11% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
62 LEBOWITZ Mick 2% 33% 43% 19% 3% -
63 DANILOV Artur 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
64 WELCH Sebastian 74% 23% 3% - - -
65 SHI Evan 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
66 MAZEL Antonin 24% 47% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.