2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
2 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
7 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
8 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
9 LI Jade 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
10 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
11 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
12 GAO Victor 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
13 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
14 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
15 GLUSHKOV David 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
16 NILSEN Mark 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
17 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
18 ZHAO Pierce 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
19 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
20 DYCKMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
21 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
22 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
23 LI Ryan 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% -
24 WANG Charles 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
25 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 6%
26 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
27 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
28 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 86% 50% 12% 1%
29 GIORDANO Zach 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
30 OCONNOR Paul 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
31 TESFAYE Elias 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
32 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
33 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
34 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
35 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3%
36 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 3%
37 CHEN Edward 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% -
38 TSIEN Richard 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
39 CUELLAR Markus 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
40 LI Ray 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 2%
41 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 18%
42 WHITE Jackson 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% -
43 LUR'YE Killian 100% 97% 68% 27% 5% -
43 WU Matthew 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
43 NG Nico 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
43 TOMASZEWSKI Benjamin 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
47 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
48 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 95% 65% 23% 3% -
49 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
50 FOGEL Jake 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
51 CHEN Daniel 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
52 HE Yurui (Bronto) 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
53 LIU Jeremy 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
53 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
55 BRESLAV Asher 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% -
56 SMITH Theo 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
57 YU David 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
58 LEE Kalvin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
59 WANG Marcus 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
60 LEE Nicholas 100% 59% 15% 2% - -
61 CHEN Tianjun 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
62 LEBOWITZ Mick 100% 98% 66% 23% 3% -
63 DANILOV Artur 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
64 WELCH Sebastian 100% 26% 3% - - -
65 SHI Evan 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
66 MAZEL Antonin 100% 76% 29% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.