Boston Fencing Club ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GAO Daniel - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
2 WU Jonathan - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 PRIHODKO Max - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
3 JIN Owen - - 4% 26% 46% 23%
5 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 SVERDLOV Seth - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
7 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 7% 39% 53%
8 LAI Boden - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
9 LONCAR Luka E. - - - 2% 19% 79%
10 HE Xiangrui 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 8%
11 ZEBROSE Cordell B. - - 5% 27% 46% 22%
12 KOGAN Aaron - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
13 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - - 3% 21% 46% 29%
14 DOYON - VERDON William - - 7% 37% 44% 11%
15 KAO Castor T. - 1% 11% 37% 39% 12%
16 PACYNA ATILLA - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
17 SAVORETTI Francesco - 1% 8% 32% 47% 12%
18 JIANG Ryan 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
19 GALLANT Antoine - - 4% 26% 46% 24%
20 TRULL A.J. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
21 OSTIGUY Cameron 1% 9% 36% 41% 12% 1%
22 GANESAN Mathavan 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1%
23 ZHANG Roland 4% 29% 44% 20% 3% -
24 STELTENKAMP Neal 1% 21% 50% 24% 4% -
25 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
26 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - 3% 25% 47% 25%
27 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
28 MAZZOLI Julio C. - - 4% 25% 51% 20%
29 REDDY Arya 1% 8% 29% 40% 21% 1%
30 PRIHODKO Andrew - - 8% 35% 41% 15%
31 SHA Michael - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
32 SMITH Troy H. - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
33 HONDOR Robert D. - - - 1% 16% 83%
34 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano - - 3% 20% 47% 30%
35 BEALS Alden - 5% 24% 44% 23% 4%
36 GOON Tristan Yang 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
37 PAYNE Massimo 3% 16% 33% 32% 15% 3%
38 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 32% 44% 20% 3% < 1% -
39 WANG Justin - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
40 DELAND Stuart R. - 3% 17% 36% 34% 10%
41 CHU Brandon A. 1% 14% 42% 35% 8% -
42 TIRRELL Justin J. - 1% 8% 34% 48% 8%
43 NALLICHERI Ayaan 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
43 FAICCO Joseph 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
45 BRADSHAW Carter 12% 50% 32% 6% - -
46 SONG Troy 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
47 STEVENSON Ryan 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
48 WANG Xiangdong 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
49 TORRES Gianni 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
50 XIE Brandon 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
51 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
51 DJONOUMA Toyohm 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
53 CHEN Allen 8% 36% 40% 14% 2% -
54 ZHANG William 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
55 PAN Anthony 14% 57% 25% 4% - -
56 CHUNG Andrew 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
57 ECKERT Kevin M. - 1% 10% 37% 39% 13%
58 JIANG Matthew 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
59 YIN Chujun 16% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
60 FENG Du 4% 21% 37% 29% 9% -
61 YAO Jack 64% 31% 4% - - -
62 SPRINGER Michael - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
63 GOON Sin Tong 18% 44% 30% 7% 1% -
64 ZELIN Sam J. 3% 25% 48% 20% 3% -
65 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 1% 11% 30% 38% 19% 1%
66 SAVORETTI Pietro 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
67 BAJAJ Nakul 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
68 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
69 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% -
70 PETERSEN Zachary 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% -
70 MEN Junda - 11% 51% 31% 6% -
72 DOWD Peter L. 37% 44% 17% 2% - -
73 SEILS Aether 74% 25% 1% - - -
74 BELLIVEAU Shane 1% 8% 32% 44% 15% 1%
75 GERSEN Jacob 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
76 KUBATIN Anton V. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
77 MORI Seneca 6% 50% 36% 7% 1% -
78 LIU Jeremiah W. 2% 16% 37% 33% 10% -
79 SANTOS Felipe 2% 15% 39% 35% 10% 1%
80 WU Chi Kuan 15% 50% 30% 6% - -
81 FENG Shang 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
82 FEINBERG James Y. 23% 44% 26% 5% - -
83 SONG Changze 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
84 REELS Eric J. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
85 HOWELL Liam 59% 35% 6% - - -
86 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 20% 44% 29% 6% 1% -
87 MURRAY John P. 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
88 SONG Ryan 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
88 MASSE Jack 44% 41% 14% 2% - -
90 GU Eric 85% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.