Boston Fencing Club ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
2 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 23%
5 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
6 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
7 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 53%
8 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
9 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
10 HE Xiangrui 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
11 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 22%
12 KOGAN Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
13 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
14 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 93% 55% 11%
15 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
16 PACYNA ATILLA 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
17 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 12%
18 JIANG Ryan 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
19 GALLANT Antoine 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 24%
20 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
21 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 99% 90% 54% 13% 1%
22 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
23 ZHANG Roland 100% 96% 67% 23% 3% -
24 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 99% 78% 28% 4% -
25 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
26 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 25%
27 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
28 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 20%
29 REDDY Arya 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 1%
30 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 91% 56% 15%
31 SHA Michael 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
32 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
33 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
34 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
35 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 4%
36 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
37 PAYNE Massimo 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
38 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 68% 23% 4% < 1% -
39 WANG Justin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
40 DELAND Stuart R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
41 CHU Brandon A. 100% 99% 85% 43% 8% -
42 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 8%
43 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
43 FAICCO Joseph 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
45 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 88% 38% 6% - -
46 SONG Troy 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
47 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
48 WANG Xiangdong 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
49 TORRES Gianni 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
50 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
51 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
51 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
53 CHEN Allen 100% 92% 56% 16% 2% -
54 ZHANG William 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
55 PAN Anthony 100% 86% 28% 4% - -
56 CHUNG Andrew 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
57 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 13%
58 JIANG Matthew 100% 94% 64% 25% 4% -
59 YIN Chujun 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
60 FENG Du 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% -
61 YAO Jack 100% 36% 4% - - -
62 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
63 GOON Sin Tong 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% -
64 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 97% 72% 24% 3% -
65 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 1%
66 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
67 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
68 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
69 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
70 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
70 MEN Junda 100% 100% 89% 38% 7% -
72 DOWD Peter L. 100% 63% 19% 3% - -
73 SEILS Aether 100% 26% 1% - - -
74 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 99% 91% 60% 16% 1%
75 GERSEN Jacob 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
76 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
77 MORI Seneca 100% 94% 44% 8% 1% -
78 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% -
79 SANTOS Felipe 100% 98% 84% 45% 10% 1%
80 WU Chi Kuan 100% 85% 36% 6% - -
81 FENG Shang 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% -
82 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 77% 32% 6% - -
83 SONG Changze 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
84 REELS Eric J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
85 HOWELL Liam 100% 41% 6% - - -
86 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% -
87 MURRAY John P. 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
88 SONG Ryan 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
88 MASSE Jack 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
90 GU Eric 100% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.