2024 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 WANG Justin - - 3% 19% 45% 29% 5%
3 JIN Owen - - - 1% 7% 39% 54%
3 BEALS Alden - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
5 KNOX James - - - 1% 9% 39% 52%
6 LAI Boden - - 3% 16% 39% 37% 4%
7 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
8 WU Jonathan - - - 5% 25% 50% 19%
9 WU Joseph - - - 1% 10% 45% 45%
10 JIANG Ryan - - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12%
11 ZHAO Corey - - - 2% 18% 51% 28%
12 BUSH Thomas - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
13 LAI Aedin - - 2% 12% 33% 37% 14%
14 SANTOS Antonio K. - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
15 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 6% 26% 38% 24% 5% -
16 PAN Anthony 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
17 RICHARD Owen - - - - 5% 30% 65%
18 SHA Michael - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
19 ECKERT Kevin M. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
20 ZHANG Shawn - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
20 TRULL A.J. - - 1% 8% 34% 44% 13%
22 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
23 XIE Brandon 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
24 SANTOS Francisco M. - 4% 21% 39% 29% 6% -
25 XIA Dashan - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 6%
26 SONG Troy - 1% 8% 30% 44% 16% 2%
27 WILSON Ian G. 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
27 LI Ray 7% 44% 38% 10% 1% - -
29 GERSEN Jacob - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
30 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
31 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1% -
32 MECHREFE Anthony 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
33 SAVORETTI Francesco - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
34 SPRINGER Michael - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
35 MASSE Jack 41% 41% 15% 3% < 1% - -
36 WANG Xiangdong 1% 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
37 SONG Changze 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
38 MARINI Davide - 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
39 MARTONE Matt L. 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
40 ORESKOVIC Olivier 5% 30% 42% 20% 3% - -
41 CHEN Allen 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
42 LIU Jeremiah W. 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
43 WANG Zhenhai 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
44 WU Chi Kuan 2% 22% 42% 27% 6% - -
45 HOWLETT Daniel - 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
46 SAVORETTI Pietro - 10% 31% 37% 19% 3% -
47 WENGER Caleb 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3% -
48 ROSIELLO Francesco 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
49 MAZZOLI Julio C. - - 3% 16% 36% 36% 10%
50 DOWD Peter L. 1% 18% 44% 30% 6% - -
51 BRADSHAW Carter - 7% 31% 42% 17% 2% -
52 ZHANG Roland 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
53 YIN Chujun 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% - -
54 BRUEGGEMANN Max 10% 42% 35% 11% 2% - -
55 SANTOS Felipe 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
56 MARSHALL William L. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
57 PARTE Aidan 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
58 KOURE Andrew C. 63% 31% 5% - - - -
58 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 19% 41% 29% 9% 2% - -
60 GU Eric 89% 11% - - - - -
61 WHITE Aidan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
62 MASSE Dean 72% 25% 3% - - - -
63 SULKIS Adam 63% 32% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.