2024 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 5%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 54%
3 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
5 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
6 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 4%
7 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
8 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 19%
9 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
10 JIANG Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
11 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 28%
12 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
13 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
14 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
15 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
16 PAN Anthony 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
17 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
18 SHA Michael 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
19 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
20 ZHANG Shawn 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
20 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 13%
22 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
23 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
24 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7% -
25 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
26 SONG Troy 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 17% 2%
27 WILSON Ian G. 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
27 LI Ray 100% 93% 49% 11% 1% - -
29 GERSEN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
30 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
31 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 99% 85% 49% 13% 1% -
32 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
33 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
34 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
35 MASSE Jack 100% 59% 18% 3% < 1% - -
36 WANG Xiangdong 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
37 SONG Changze 100% 99% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
38 MARINI Davide 100% 100% 88% 53% 18% 2% -
39 MARTONE Matt L. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
40 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 95% 65% 23% 3% - -
41 CHEN Allen 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
42 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
43 WANG Zhenhai 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
44 WU Chi Kuan 100% 98% 76% 34% 6% - -
45 HOWLETT Daniel 100% 100% 87% 52% 18% 2% -
46 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 3% -
47 WENGER Caleb 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3% -
48 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
49 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
50 DOWD Peter L. 100% 99% 80% 37% 7% - -
51 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 93% 62% 20% 3% -
52 ZHANG Roland 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
53 YIN Chujun 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% - -
54 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% - -
55 SANTOS Felipe 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
56 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
57 PARTE Aidan 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
58 KOURE Andrew C. 100% 37% 6% - - - -
58 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
60 GU Eric 100% 11% 1% - - - -
61 WHITE Aidan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
62 MASSE Dean 100% 28% 3% - - - -
63 SULKIS Adam 100% 37% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.