Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 12:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
2 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - - - 4% 41% 54%
3 GAO Daniel - - - 1% 11% 46% 43%
3 MANN Jake R. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
5 JONES Simon A. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
6 WU Jonathan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
7 PRIHODKO Max - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
8 HONDOR Robert D. - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
9 KATS Dylan G. - - - 2% 12% 41% 46%
10 KNOX James - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
11 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
12 LAI Aedin - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
13 SIYANKO Joshua - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
14 SETO Jing - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9% -
15 ROBINS Brennan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
16 WONG King-Yee 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
17 LAI Boden - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
18 SONG Troy - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
19 CHEN Leonardo - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
20 JIANG Matthew 3% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1% -
21 DOELEMAN zeno - - - 2% 17% 50% 30%
22 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
23 SANTOS Antonio K. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
24 RUSSELL Edward - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
25 WANG justin - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
26 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. - - - 4% 23% 49% 23%
27 SHEN Max - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
28 LIU Adam - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
29 WANG Tony 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
30 JENNINGS Adin - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 3%
31 TSE Maxwell - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
32 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
33 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
34 XIA Dashan - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
35 DOWD Peter L. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
36 CHEN Jun Ho - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
37 ZHANG Dinghao 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
38 STELTENKAMP Neal 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
39 BARNHART William C. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
39 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 2% 11% 32% 42% 13%
41 HU Robert J. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
41 PARK Nicholas - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
43 NALLICHERI Ayaan 35% 42% 19% 4% < 1% - -
44 NORMILE Nicholas - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
44 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
46 PRIHODKO Andrew - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
46 JIN Owen - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
48 SCHROEDER III Robert - 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
49 SANTOS Francisco M. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
50 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 7% 29% 40% 21% 3% - -
51 HOWELL Liam 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
52 CHU Brandon A. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
52 CHEN Allen 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3% -
54 MEN Junda 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
55 SONG Changze 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
56 GREGORY Nova (Abram) - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
57 FAICCO Joseph - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
58 FENG Du 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
59 CHEMEZOV Trent 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
60 PETERSEN Zachary 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
61 KARIMOV Amir - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
62 OTTAVIANO Aaron 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
63 BAILEY David - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
64 FOURNET Sebastien 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
65 BEALS Alden - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
66 SVERDLOV Seth - - 1% 11% 36% 45% 7%
67 PAYNE Massimo - 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
68 SPRINGER Michael - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
69 NUNEZ Jorge 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
70 BELLIVEAU Shane 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
71 LI Ray 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
72 YIN Chujun 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
73 RIM Eugene 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
74 ORESKOVIC Olivier 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
75 PALLADINO Ben T. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
76 XIE Brandon 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
76 SIALA Omar 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
78 RATUSHNYI Georgii 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
79 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 8% 47% 34% 9% 1% - -
80 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4% -
81 TESFAYE Elias 10% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
82 SANTOS Felipe 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
83 ZELIN Sam J. 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% 2% -
83 HELMY Richard 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
85 CHEN Jayden 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
86 MARINI Davide 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
87 LIN Nathan 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
88 YU Samuel 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
89 MAZZOLI Julio C. - 1% 7% 30% 47% 14% 1%
90 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
91 FEINBERG James Y. 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
91 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
91 GU Eric 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
94 PESSIN Nadav 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
95 LYCHKO Maksym 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
96 WU Chi Kuan 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
97 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
98 LI Jade 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
98 HOWARD Jackson 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
100 WHITE Aidan 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
101 SUN Lucas 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
102 LEE Wyatt 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
103 SEILS Aether 75% 23% 2% - - - -
104 DAGLI Sai 77% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.