Premier Challenge ROC DIV1A/DIV2

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, February 23, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOGERT James BRETT (Brett) - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
2 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
3 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 12%
5 MILLER Finn S. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
6 PLUMER Jack E. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
7 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 14%
8 TABLEMAN Doug S. 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
9 MARAKOV Allen B. - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
10 CORBAN Michael Y. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
11 WALTHER Bryan M. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
12 GIBSON Nowell L. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
13 PANTEL Adam S. 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
14 HIRSCHMAN Burton E. 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
15 LEIGH David A. - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
16 DAVIS Matthew D. 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
18 RA Jr. Daniel M. - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
19 XU Zitong (Evan) - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
20 BEDOR William J. 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
21 INSLER Gabriel C. - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
22 DIDASKALOU Ilias L. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
23 HERGERT Earl 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
24 PAOLINI Nathan R. - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
25 KAMBESELES Jack M. 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
26 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
27 ZHANG Matthew 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
28 SHENG Patrick Y. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
29 KANG Michael H. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
30 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
31 STOREY Joseph P. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
32 STUSNICK Hunter - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
33 KIM Juni C. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
34 VERMEULE Spencer - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 10%
35 INFINITO Christopher E. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
36 CHA Russell W. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
37 KIM Derek D. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 2%
38 LEE Timothy S. 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
39 SANCHEZ Lorenzo J. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
40 CULLEN Daniel F. 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
41 BAKER Kevin G. 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
42 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
43 HAO Jerry - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
44 KOKENGE Clark - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
44 LI Jeffrey 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
46 NEALE James H. 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
47 HUANG Forest 18% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
47 PARK Minchan - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
49 SMITH Nicholas S. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
51 STOTT Donovan R. 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
52 GONZALEZ Michael 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
53 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
54 YOSHIDA Stephen R. 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
55 RYAN Joshua P. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
56 LUKANYUK Lorence 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
57 PHO Eric 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
58 MOGILEVICH Michael 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
59 LEVY Jeffrey M. 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
60 LUO Aaron 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
61 CHARRON Jack H. 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
62 LIU Frank 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
63 CARVALHO Daniel S. - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
64 BARREIRO Darren 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
65 CHEUNG Liyan 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
66 WHITEHURST JJ 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
67 AHN Sung-ho 29% 43% 23% 5% - - -
67 CONNELL Jay 5% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
69 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 47% 40% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.