AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SINGHA Orion - - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
2 SMITH Justin C. - - - 3% 23% 55% 19%
3 HICKS Zachary - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
3 TIEN Jabin - 3% 17% 39% 35% 7%
5 JOHNSTON Conner S. - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
6 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 9% 35% 42% 12% 1%
7 CHIEN Brandon - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
8 CHOI Zachary - 4% 17% 37% 34% 8%
9 DIEDERICHS Jimmy G. - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
10 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
11 LI Yunji (Rain) 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
12 JAIN Samyak 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
13 LIU Noah 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
14 DEMPSEY Connor 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
15 CHAUDHURI Kabir 8% 36% 41% 14% 2% - -
16 MA Victor - < 1% 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
17 CHEN Bailey - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
18 CHANDLER Paul F. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
19 SHIRLEY Kai - 2% 17% 45% 29% 7% 1%
20 CHOI Kaiden I. - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
21 WANG Terry - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
22 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
23 DANIELS Jonah - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
24 HABIB Farooq - - - - 4% 28% 68%
24 YUEN Nathan - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
26 LIU Andrew - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
27 SOULAIRE Tom - - - 4% 25% 45% 25%
28 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
29 GINZBURG Adam 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 4%
30 GUIRAUDET Alistair 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
31 TANG Mingyuan - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
32 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
33 DOWDELL Riley - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
34 HEINS Dylan - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18% 2%
35 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
36 HILLSTROM Nathan - 2% 18% 45% 30% 5% -
37 ALVAREZ Ian T. - - 2% 13% 38% 40% 7%
38 BOYCE Samuel H. - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
39 NICHOLSON Dominic A. - - 1% 12% 39% 37% 11%
40 NAIK Saininad - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
41 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - - - - 4% 35% 61%
42 WONG Baron - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
43 SEO Shawn - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
44 MCMANUS Farran - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
45 AU Marcus J. - - - 7% 29% 44% 20%
46 SCHROEDER Dylan - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15%
47 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
48 KUO Rylan 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
49 ANDERSON Kai 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
50 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
51 PAINTER Noah 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
52 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
53 WAI Andreas 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
54 SCHINDLER Sergey M. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
55 RUFANOV Maxim 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
56 KOUTSOUKOS James 2% 20% 50% 24% 4% - -
57 MILEY Walker 2% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
58 SINHA Zaan 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
59 MIAO KUNQI 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
60 LIU Yikun - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
61 SIM Ian 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
62 LAURIMAA Emil 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
63 NGUYEN Peyton 13% 42% 33% 10% 2% - -
64 CHEW Aedan 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
65 YOUNG Quentin 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
66 WONG Ethan 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
67 LAI Alexander 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
68 ZHUANG William 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
69 STAFFORD Bryan 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
70 GOROZA Eric 20% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
71 ALLEGRETTI Zachary T. 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
72 PERALTA Christian 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
73 WONG Preston 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
74 XU Yanwen 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
75 AGGELER Donovan 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
76 JU Hanul 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
77 ZGAMA Oleksii 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
78 PHILIPPINE Johan L. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
79 MARTIN zachary 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
80 CHENG Trevor 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
81 ROBERTS Peter - 3% 16% 37% 36% 9%
82 SIRBU Dan 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
83 DOWNEY Gerard C. 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
84 ELZAYN Hadi S. 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2%
85 WANG Kunqi 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
86 KLINKNER Richard 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
87 URCIOLI Phenix 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
88 LIU Yichen 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
89 DEVINENI Avyang 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
90 MEHROTRA Dhruv 39% 47% 13% 1% - - -
91 TOPPING Axel 68% 28% 4% - - - -
92 REED David 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
93 TUMULA Arihaan 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
94 SHEN Jiayi 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% - -
95 BUERGISSER Kai 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
96 MCLAREN Mason 30% 46% 20% 4% - - -
97 BECK Brian C. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
98 MITCHEM Paolo 34% 50% 14% 1% - - -
99 MOLLINIER Angel 9% 39% 40% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.