AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 19%
3 HICKS Zachary 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
3 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
5 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
6 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 12% 1%
7 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
8 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
9 DIEDERICHS Jimmy G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
10 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
11 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
12 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
13 LIU Noah 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
14 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
15 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 92% 56% 15% 2% - -
16 MA Victor 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
17 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
18 CHANDLER Paul F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
19 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 100% 98% 81% 36% 7% 1%
20 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
21 WANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
22 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
23 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
24 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
24 YUEN Nathan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
26 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
27 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
28 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
29 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
30 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
31 TANG Mingyuan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
32 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
33 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
34 HEINS Dylan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19% 2%
35 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
36 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 100% 98% 80% 35% 5% -
37 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 7%
38 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
39 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 11%
40 NAIK Saininad 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
41 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
42 WONG Baron 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
43 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
44 MCMANUS Farran 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
45 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
46 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
47 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
48 KUO Rylan 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
49 ANDERSON Kai 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
50 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
51 PAINTER Noah 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
52 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 6%
53 WAI Andreas 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
54 SCHINDLER Sergey M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
55 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
56 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 98% 78% 28% 4% - -
57 MILEY Walker 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
58 SINHA Zaan 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
59 MIAO KUNQI 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
60 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
61 SIM Ian 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
62 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
63 NGUYEN Peyton 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% - -
64 CHEW Aedan 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
65 YOUNG Quentin 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
66 WONG Ethan 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
67 LAI Alexander 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
68 ZHUANG William 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
69 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
70 GOROZA Eric 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
71 ALLEGRETTI Zachary T. 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
72 PERALTA Christian 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
73 WONG Preston 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -
74 XU Yanwen 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
75 AGGELER Donovan 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
76 JU Hanul 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
77 ZGAMA Oleksii 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
78 PHILIPPINE Johan L. 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
79 MARTIN zachary 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
80 CHENG Trevor 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
81 ROBERTS Peter 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
82 SIRBU Dan 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
83 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
84 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
85 WANG Kunqi 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
86 KLINKNER Richard 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
87 URCIOLI Phenix 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
88 LIU Yichen 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
89 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
90 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -
91 TOPPING Axel 100% 32% 4% - - - -
92 REED David 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
93 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
94 SHEN Jiayi 100% 97% 71% 30% 6% - -
95 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
96 MCLAREN Mason 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
97 BECK Brian C. 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
98 MITCHEM Paolo 100% 66% 15% 1% - - -
99 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 91% 52% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.