Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, December 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
3 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
6 SHMULER Fiona 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
7 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
8 LI Alexis 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
9 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
10 LI Sonia 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
11 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
12 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
13 PROBASCO Leila 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
14 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
15 NANDA Maanika 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
16 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
17 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 12%
18 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
19 STADNIK Emilia 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
20 NG Sophia 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
21 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
22 FREEMAN Armine 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
23 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
24 NEUMAN Ella 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
25 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
26 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
27 BOLT - TURNER Carmen 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 4% -
28 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
29 KIM Audrey 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
30 INSINGA Ava 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
31 ZONG Eliane 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
32 LAFFY Lily 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
33 HUANG Pierra 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
34 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
35 PARK Haylie 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
36 KHOST Maeve 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
37 RANJAN Diya 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
38 MURPHY Jessica 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
39 LIU Chelsea 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
40 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
41 VATS Ishita 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
42 BARNES Sarah 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
42 HO Sophia 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
44 BAINS Nandini 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
45 SIROIS Neve 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
46 CHI Claire 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
47 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
48 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
49 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
50 LIANG Claire 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
51 HUANG Zoe 100% 84% 37% 8% 1% - -
52 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
53 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
54 KWON Ava 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
55 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
56 NARAYANAN Sinduja 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
57 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
58 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
58 ROHATGI Saanvi 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
60 CHEN Ziyi 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
61 LEE Kaitlin 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
62 MANGAT Alexis 100% 10% - - - - -
63 QURESHI Fizzah 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
64 CALDERON Isabella 100% 19% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.