Midwinter Melee

Veteran Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Middlebury Union Middle School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 BOLDUC Patrice 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
2 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 41% 15% 3% -
3 WALTING Paul J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
3 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
5 LAMOREAUX Zachariah P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
6 MERRIFOX Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
7 NGUYEN Thanh H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
8 SCHUPPE Ray W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 45% 16% 3%
9 MEHRBACH Jesse 100% 100% 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
10 GLAZER Adam 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
11 RUGGLES William R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
12 PEDEN Emily 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% - - -
13 KROHN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 58% 28% 9% 1%
14 LAMOREAUX Julie A. 100% 92% 25% 3% - - - -
15 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - - - -
16 HANNA Richard 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% - - -
17 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 37% 6% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.