Midwinter Melee

Veteran Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Middlebury Union Middle School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 BOLDUC Patrice - - - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
2 MEAGHER Roderick - 1% 8% 20% 30% 25% 12% 3% -
3 WALTING Paul J. - - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
3 LUSSIER Jesse B. - - 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4%
5 LAMOREAUX Zachariah P. - - 2% 11% 25% 32% 21% 7% 1%
6 MERRIFOX Dylan - - - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
7 NGUYEN Thanh H. - - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
8 SCHUPPE Ray W. - 1% 6% 18% 30% 28% 14% 3%
9 MEHRBACH Jesse - - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
10 GLAZER Adam - 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
11 RUGGLES William R. - - 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
12 PEDEN Emily 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% - - -
13 KROHN Matthew - 1% 4% 13% 25% 29% 20% 7% 1%
14 LAMOREAUX Julie A. 8% 67% 23% 2% - - - -
15 POWERFREEMAN Mark 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - - - -
16 HANNA Richard 3% 17% 34% 29% 13% 3% - - -
17 WHEELER Michele L. 63% 31% 6% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.