Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 3% 30% 67%
2 KROPP Wesley - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
3 ZHAI Derrick - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
3 MOSTOVOY philip - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
5 DODIN Daniel M. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
5 KIM Gene - - - - 4% 27% 69%
7 LUO Alexander - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
8 CHEN Evan - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
9 TANG Michael - - - 2% 15% 44% 38%
10 DANILOV Artur - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
11 WU MiEr - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
12 KATS Brandon - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
13 MIDYANY Ryan - - 2% 13% 37% 40% 8%
14 MIKHAIL Lucas - - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
15 ZHENG Jason - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
16 ROBERTS Arthur 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
17 KIM Julian - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
18 YU Jeremy 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% < 1%
19 YAO Tristan - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
20 QU RuiTing - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
21 MOU Jaydon - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
22 YAO Aiden - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
23 CHEN Tianjun - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
24 NOOL Aaron 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
25 CHEN Daniel - 2% 13% 36% 37% 13%
26 HANTOV Adrian - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
27 FRIZZELL Kai - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
28 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
29 KHERSONSKY Robert - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
30 SONG Aidan - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
31 YAO Ryan - 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 3%
32 HEADRICK Liam - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
33 TOPRANI Valmik - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10%
34 MA Nolan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
35 LIU Austin - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
36 ZHAO Kyle Zekai - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
37 TANG Daniel - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
38 YAKHNIS Seth - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
39 PETERS Keane - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 2%
40 STRAFFORD Andrew - 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
41 DING Max - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
42 OH Ted 3% 20% 41% 30% 6% -
43 CHO Adrian - 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 1%
44 KIM Doyun - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
45 ALPSOY Emir - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
46 CHIANG William 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
46 PUTHOFF Henry - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
48 LAI Jayden - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
49 CHEN Jayden - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
50 KIM Leejay - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
51 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 6% 28% 52% 13%
52 MEDISETTI Arjun - 3% 17% 44% 34% 3%
53 GALBRAITH Carson 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
54 KICIMAN Leo - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
55 BORAN Brooks - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
56 MA Joseph 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
57 QI Bryan 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
58 MASKIN Mikhail - 2% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
59 ZHUKOV Egor - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
59 DANG William - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
61 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7%
62 ZHAN ETHAN 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
63 HAM Ian 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
64 VORONIN Zachary 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
65 LEE Harrison - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 14%
66 KIM Louie - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
67 CHANG Matthew - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
68 SMITH Theo - 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
69 WU Jiachen 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
70 FEELY Benjamin 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1%
71 ZHOU Luke - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
72 SHI Peyton 13% 38% 36% 11% 1% -
73 WILLIAMS Gavin 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
74 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
75 KONG Ethan - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
76 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
77 ZHANG Aiden - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
78 ZHAO Brandon 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
79 HONG Ethen 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
80 KO Ethan 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
81 BUTLER Xavier 1% 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
82 KANG Ihan 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
83 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 1% 6% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
84 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
85 MILLER Xavier 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
86 ZHAO ryan 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
87 WEI Jayden - - 2% 17% 46% 35%
88 FRY John - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
89 LANE Sawyer 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
90 MAXWELL Taiga 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
91 CHEN Regis - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
92 FEELY Samuel 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
93 KIM Daniel 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
94 KUBBA Sauvil 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
95 HAGERMAN Mark 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
96 KUYKENDALL Logan 13% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
97 IMBERG Matthew - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
98 DING Charlie 1% 14% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
99 KIM Siwoo 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
100 NOCON Garrison 4% 22% 41% 27% 5% -
101 BURT Jonathan Parker 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
102 KUYKENDALL Lucas 33% 44% 19% 3% - -
103 ZHANG Jacob 14% 39% 35% 11% 1% -
104 LEE Taeryum 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
105 PATEL Yash 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
105 SPEZAKIS Achilles 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
107 YOON Jonathan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
108 CAVALLARO Sebastian 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
109 PATEL Tej 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
110 LIU YULIN 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
111 CHI Zachary 4% 31% 40% 20% 4% - -
112 ZINCHUK Yuri 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
113 CAVALLARO Xavier 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
114 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
115 KABEALO Charles 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
116 MORET Declan 59% 35% 6% - - - -
116 YAN Milan 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
118 GOODSON Everett 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
119 GREEN Hudson 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
120 PINCIROLI Tommaso 5% 40% 39% 14% 2% - -
121 MATHEW Benjamin 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
122 CHEN Zachary 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
123 KRAVCHENKO Philip 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
124 ZHEN Maxwell 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
125 SCOGGIN Charles 15% 50% 29% 6% 1% - -
126 AGRAWAL Ariv 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
127 QU ethan 20% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
128 ZHOU Silvan 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
129 KICIMAN Louis 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
130 LEE Eric 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
131 ECCLESTONE Liam 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
132 REKUS Gavin 75% 22% 2% - - - -
133 SUK Kwon 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
134 HONG Evan < 1% - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
135 GAN Samuel 81% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.