Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
2 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
5 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
5 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
8 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
9 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
10 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
11 WU MiEr 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
12 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
13 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 8%
14 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
15 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 37% 7%
16 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
17 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
18 YU Jeremy 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% < 1%
19 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
20 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
21 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
22 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
23 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
24 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
25 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
26 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
27 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
28 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 20%
29 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 13%
30 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
31 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
32 HEADRICK Liam 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
33 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
34 MA Nolan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
35 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
36 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
37 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
38 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
39 PETERS Keane 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
40 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
41 DING Max 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
42 OH Ted 100% 97% 77% 36% 6% -
43 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 1%
44 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
45 ALPSOY Emir 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
46 CHIANG William 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
46 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
48 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
49 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
50 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
51 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 13%
52 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 100% 97% 81% 37% 3%
53 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
54 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
55 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
56 MA Joseph 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
57 QI Bryan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
58 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
59 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
59 DANG William 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
61 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
62 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
63 HAM Ian 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
64 VORONIN Zachary 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
65 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
66 KIM Louie 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
67 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
68 SMITH Theo 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
69 WU Jiachen 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
70 FEELY Benjamin 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
71 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
72 SHI Peyton 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
73 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1%
74 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
75 KONG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
76 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
77 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
78 ZHAO Brandon 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
79 HONG Ethen 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
80 KO Ethan 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
81 BUTLER Xavier 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
82 KANG Ihan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
83 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% 1%
84 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
85 MILLER Xavier 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
86 ZHAO ryan 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
87 WEI Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
88 FRY John 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
89 LANE Sawyer 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 5% -
90 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
91 CHEN Regis 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
92 FEELY Samuel 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
93 KIM Daniel 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
94 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
95 HAGERMAN Mark 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
96 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% - -
97 IMBERG Matthew 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
98 DING Charlie 100% 99% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
99 KIM Siwoo 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
100 NOCON Garrison 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
101 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
102 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
103 ZHANG Jacob 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
104 LEE Taeryum 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
105 PATEL Yash 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
105 SPEZAKIS Achilles 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
107 YOON Jonathan 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
108 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
109 PATEL Tej 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
110 LIU YULIN 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
111 CHI Zachary 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% - -
112 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
113 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
114 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
115 KABEALO Charles 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
116 MORET Declan 100% 41% 6% - - - -
116 YAN Milan 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
118 GOODSON Everett 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
119 GREEN Hudson 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
120 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 95% 56% 16% 2% - -
121 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
122 CHEN Zachary 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
123 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
124 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
125 SCOGGIN Charles 100% 85% 35% 6% 1% - -
126 AGRAWAL Ariv 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
127 QU ethan 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
128 ZHOU Silvan 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
129 KICIMAN Louis 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
130 LEE Eric 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
131 ECCLESTONE Liam 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
132 REKUS Gavin 100% 25% 2% - - - -
133 SUK Kwon 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
134 HONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
135 GAN Samuel 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.