The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHENG Patrick Y. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
2 MARCHANT Albert J. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
3 MOTIR Lucas D. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
3 KUMAR Anitya - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
5 MCDERMOTT Brian - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
6 KRONROD Tal - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
7 HERMANSON David B. 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
8 CRONIN Darragh J. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
9 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
10 LESPERANCE Lucas - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
11 LANGTON Sawyer - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
12 BURNHAM Charlie E. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
13 HE Lawrence - 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
14 LEHR William D. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
15 JIN Owen - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
16 WYATT Seth 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
17 WIEDERHORN ethan - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
18 LIEF Isaac R. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
19 GLAZ Nicholas S. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
20 SHAH Maximilian A. 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
21 ALFAIATE Lucas - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
22 DYER Ian E. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
23 HANRATTY Liam 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
24 HOWELL Thomas A. - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
25 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
26 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
27 SINGH Laekhram 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
28 FENWICK Luke A. 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
29 LIU Jack - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
30 MARICI Ryan 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
31 GROSSMAN August 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
32 SMEDLEY Drew N. 35% 43% 18% 4% - - -
33 MARKHAM Jimmy - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
34 LUKANYUK Lorence - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
35 TROAKE Henry R. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
36 LAI Coby 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
37 SIMPSON Patrick 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
37 MAGDA Daniel 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
39 DOUGLAS Colin F. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
40 MATEI Daniel 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 8% 1%
41 COTAJ Andrew 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
42 WU Joseph - 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
43 RICHARD Owen - - 3% 14% 34% 38% 12%
44 PAGE Duncan 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
45 FERREIRA Noah J. 1% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
46 PATENAUDE Kameron 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
47 BENINI Alexander J. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
48 MORTON William 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
49 BAZURO Andrew 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
50 CONNORS Jacob 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
51 GIRARDI Brian 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
52 SKIFFINGTON Sam 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
53 ROLLO Emmett H. 10% 39% 35% 13% 3% - -
54 GRUMMER Ryan 13% 39% 35% 11% 1% - -
55 ROWE Jason 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
56 HERBERT Harrison 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.