New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SHENG Patrick Y. | V V D V V V | V V V V V | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 2 | MARCHANT Albert J. | D V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | MOTIR Lucas D. | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 3 | KUMAR Anitya | V V D V V D | V V V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 5 | MCDERMOTT Brian | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 6 | KRONROD Tal | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 7 | HERMANSON David B. | V V V D V V | V V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 8 | CRONIN Darragh J. | D D D D D D | V V V D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 9 | YUROVCHAK Andrew T. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 10 | LESPERANCE Lucas | V V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 11 | LANGTON Sawyer | V V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 12 | BURNHAM Charlie E. | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 13 | HE Lawrence | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 14 | LEHR William D. | V V D V V D | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 15 | JIN Owen | D D V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 16 | WYATT Seth | D D V D D V | V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 17 | WIEDERHORN ethan | V V V V V V | D | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| 18 | LIEF Isaac R. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 19 | GLAZ Nicholas S. | V V D D V V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 20 | SHAH Maximilian A. | D V V V V D | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 21 | ALFAIATE Lucas | V D D V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 22 | DYER Ian E. | V V D V V D | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 23 | HANRATTY Liam | D V V V D V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 24 | HOWELL Thomas A. | V V D V D V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 25 | BELLIVEAU Raven C. | V V V D D V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 26 | COLLYMORE Spencer T. | V V D V D D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 27 | SINGH Laekhram | V D V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 28 | FENWICK Luke A. | V V D D D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 29 | LIU Jack | D D V D V D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 30 | MARICI Ryan | D V D V D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 31 | GROSSMAN August | D D V D D D | V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 32 | SMEDLEY Drew N. | D D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 33 | MARKHAM Jimmy | V D V D V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 34 | LUKANYUK Lorence | V V V D D V | 4.0 | 4 | - | |
| 35 | TROAKE Henry R. | V D V V V D | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 36 | LAI Coby | V D V V D D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 37 | SIMPSON Patrick | D D V V V D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 37 | MAGDA Daniel | D V D D V V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 39 | DOUGLAS Colin F. | D V V D V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 40 | MATEI Daniel | D V V D D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 41 | COTAJ Andrew | D D V D V V | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 42 | WU Joseph | D D D D V V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 43 | RICHARD Owen | D V D V D D | D | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 44 | PAGE Duncan | D D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 45 | FERREIRA Noah J. | D V D D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 46 | PATENAUDE Kameron | D D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 47 | BENINI Alexander J. | D V D D D D | D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 48 | MORTON William | D D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 49 | BAZURO Andrew | D D D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 50 | CONNORS Jacob | D D V D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 51 | GIRARDI Brian | D D D D D V | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 52 | SKIFFINGTON Sam | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 53 | ROLLO Emmett H. | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 54 | GRUMMER Ryan | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 55 | ROWE Jason | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 56 | HERBERT Harrison | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.