March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 LUC Cedric - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
3 TANG Morgan - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
5 KANG Jeremy - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
6 HWANG Hagan - - - 4% 20% 43% 34%
7 LIANG Morgan - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
8 KOREN George - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
9 GRIGORIEV Roman - - - - 5% 31% 63%
10 LI Ryan - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
11 YU Ian - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
11 GU Andrew - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
11 WONG Hawken - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
14 KAUL Ishaan - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
15 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
16 D'AMELJ Edoardo - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
17 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
18 HAO Johnny - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
19 VO Blake - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
20 HENDERSON Louis - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
21 ZEYU wu - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
22 HU Hongyu - - - 1% 11% 54% 35%
23 BIVIJI Adam - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
24 YU BOWEN - - - 1% 5% 29% 65%
26 YUEN Caleb - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
27 LYU Tyler - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
28 PARK Emerson - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
29 ALUF Brendon 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
30 ZHANG Aiden 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
31 LEE Jayden 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
32 LUCAS William - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
33 KHANNA Adamantis - - - - 5% 44% 51%
34 YI Andrew - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
35 SHANKAR Rahm 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
36 KIM Junseong - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
37 WANG David 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
38 CHANG Ethan - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
39 SHAPIRO Leo - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
40 KAMURA Kosei - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 4%
41 BROOKS Drake - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
42 SU Eric 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
43 LEIGH Brayden - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
44 BURENKOV Matthew 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
45 MIAO Heqi - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
46 CHAN Ewan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
47 KIM Suin - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 3%
48 BRISENO Ethan - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
48 QI Jeremy - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
50 LAI Mars 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
51 BI JIAJUN - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
52 SUN Stephen 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
52 SONG Aidan - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
54 WU Vincent 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
55 LU Simon - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
55 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
57 CHAN Troy Devon - 6% 25% 42% 24% 3% -
58 LUO Gavin 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
59 LEE Brendan 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
60 HRISTOV Nickolas 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
61 LEVY Daniel - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
62 HAN Kyle 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
63 AVERY Marcus - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
64 FISCHER Noel - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 3%
65 LI Michael - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
66 ISAYENKO Daniel - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
67 CAO Chuck 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
68 OU Rigel - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
69 FU BRANDEN - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
70 SLOAN Ethan 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
71 KIM Leo 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
72 MALEK Zak - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
73 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
74 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
75 KOREN David - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
75 BRADY Jack - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
77 LIU Jayden 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
78 ATA Kevin - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
79 LVOVSKIY Roman 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
80 SUH Jordan 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
81 FAVO Christopher 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
82 LEE Jeffrey 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
83 YANG LOUIS - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
84 CAO HAOTIAN 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
85 QI Zach 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
86 BEAL Colton - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
87 ZONG Shiyan - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
88 ZALETAEV Jacob 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
89 JANG Seohyeon 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
90 WANG Harrison 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
91 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
91 JAVIER Xavier - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
91 CHEN Aaron 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% -
94 YUAN Alan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
95 SALMAN Ibrahim 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
96 DENG Richard 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
96 BENNETT Lachlan 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
98 CHEN Leo - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
99 DUFF Michael 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
100 CHEN Brian 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
101 WANG Henrik 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
102 PARK Sean - 6% 25% 42% 25% 3% -
102 PI Edwin 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
104 HOWARTH Hayes - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
105 KELLY Collin 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
106 TAN Daniel 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
107 GILBERT Ari 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
108 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
109 YE Aaron 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
110 KIM Shiloh 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
111 THOMAS Tre 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
112 LI Derek 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
113 ZHANG Caleb 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
114 HU Simon - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
115 PARK Layne - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
116 LI Kent 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
117 ZHAO Alexander - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
118 LEE Shane Gunn 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
119 MARCISZ Maksym 4% 24% 41% 26% 6% - -
120 LIU Jeremy - - 2% 10% 33% 44% 12%
121 LEE Kyle 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
122 WANG James 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
123 CHOU Franklin - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
124 OH Dongha 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
125 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
126 KUANG Cyrus 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
127 GU Dean 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
128 RIMMELE Sven Yan 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
129 CHOI Clayton 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% - -
130 PARK Jayden 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
131 TAKEBE Ren 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
132 BADMUS David 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
133 CHUNG Evan 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
134 ADAMS Jordan 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
135 KIM Derek 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
136 SHEN Alaric 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
137 RISMAN Edward 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
137 ZHOU Ruibo 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
139 HSIEH Maxwell 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
140 DESAI Arthav 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
141 TABANCAY Cole 3% 18% 33% 29% 14% 3% -
141 DAI Ethan 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
143 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
144 JI Derek 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
145 LEISTNER Armin 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
146 STEVENS Emeric 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
147 XIA Henson 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
148 TERENTIEV Michael - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
149 SHARMA Ayaan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
150 MAKLIN David 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
151 LAN Jasper 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
152 HUANG Lucas 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
152 KORIVI Ishan 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
154 GONG Johnny 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
155 FAN Yuchen 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
156 STYS Owen 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
157 TIAGI Ronald 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
159 FAN Yuen 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
160 LI Lucas 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
161 LOVELL Jackson 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
161 TAK Kion 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
161 BALAGOPAL Aditya 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
164 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 18% 47% 27% 7% 1% - -
165 DING Orlando 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
165 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
167 CHEN Ryan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
168 HOLMES Xavier 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
168 WU Dustin 46% 41% 12% 2% - - -
168 CHEN Luca 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
171 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
172 JIA Francis 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
173 SHEK-WEI Wesley 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
174 SUN Leonard 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
174 HU YouShi 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
176 CHEN Harrison 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
177 LEE Aiden 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
177 YANG Aegon 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
177 ZHANG Hanzhi 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
177 ROSE Parker 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
181 WU Allen 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
182 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Weston 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
182 HARDY Mason 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
184 HUANG Joseph 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
184 YUNG Nathan 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
184 KANG Nathan 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
187 LEI Isaac 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
187 WU Dylan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
189 KULJIEV Boyan 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
189 TAK Sion 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
191 ROSENBLATT Ezra 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
192 RAHMAN Noah 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
193 PATHAK Adhrit 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
194 GUO Lining 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.