March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
5 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
7 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
8 KOREN George 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
9 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
10 LI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
11 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
11 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
11 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
14 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
15 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
16 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
17 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
18 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
19 VO Blake 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 10%
20 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
21 ZEYU wu 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
22 HU Hongyu 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 35%
23 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
24 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 65%
26 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
27 LYU Tyler 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
28 PARK Emerson 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
29 ALUF Brendon 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
30 ZHANG Aiden 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
31 LEE Jayden 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
32 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 54% 15%
33 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 51%
34 YI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
35 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
36 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
37 WANG David 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
38 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
39 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 24% 4%
40 KAMURA Kosei 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
41 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
42 SU Eric 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
43 LEIGH Brayden 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
44 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
45 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
46 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
47 KIM Suin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
48 BRISENO Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
48 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
50 LAI Mars 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
51 BI JIAJUN 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
52 SUN Stephen 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
52 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
54 WU Vincent 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
55 LU Simon 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16% 1%
55 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
57 CHAN Troy Devon 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 3% -
58 LUO Gavin 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
59 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
60 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
61 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
62 HAN Kyle 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
63 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
64 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 20% 3%
65 LI Michael 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
66 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
67 CAO Chuck 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
68 OU Rigel 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
69 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
70 SLOAN Ethan 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
71 KIM Leo 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
72 MALEK Zak 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
73 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
74 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
75 KOREN David 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
75 BRADY Jack 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
77 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
78 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
79 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
80 SUH Jordan 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% -
81 FAVO Christopher 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
82 LEE Jeffrey 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
83 YANG LOUIS 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
84 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
85 QI Zach 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
86 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
87 ZONG Shiyan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
88 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
89 JANG Seohyeon 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
90 WANG Harrison 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
91 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
91 JAVIER Xavier 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
91 CHEN Aaron 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% -
94 YUAN Alan 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
95 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
96 DENG Richard 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
96 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
98 CHEN Leo 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
99 DUFF Michael 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
100 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
101 WANG Henrik 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% -
102 PARK Sean 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3% -
102 PI Edwin 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
104 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
105 KELLY Collin 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
106 TAN Daniel 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
107 GILBERT Ari 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
108 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
109 YE Aaron 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
110 KIM Shiloh 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
111 THOMAS Tre 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
112 LI Derek 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
113 ZHANG Caleb 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
114 HU Simon 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
115 PARK Layne 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
116 LI Kent 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
117 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
118 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
119 MARCISZ Maksym 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% - -
120 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 12%
121 LEE Kyle 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
122 WANG James 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
123 CHOU Franklin 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
124 OH Dongha 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
125 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
126 KUANG Cyrus 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
127 GU Dean 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
128 RIMMELE Sven Yan 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% - -
129 CHOI Clayton 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
130 PARK Jayden 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
131 TAKEBE Ren 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
132 BADMUS David 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
133 CHUNG Evan 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2%
134 ADAMS Jordan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
135 KIM Derek 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
136 SHEN Alaric 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
137 RISMAN Edward 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
137 ZHOU Ruibo 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
139 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
140 DESAI Arthav 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
141 TABANCAY Cole 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
141 DAI Ethan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
143 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% - -
144 JI Derek 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
145 LEISTNER Armin 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
146 STEVENS Emeric 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
147 XIA Henson 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
148 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
149 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
150 MAKLIN David 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
151 LAN Jasper 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
152 HUANG Lucas 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
152 KORIVI Ishan 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
154 GONG Johnny 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
155 FAN Yuchen 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
156 STYS Owen 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
157 TIAGI Ronald 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
159 FAN Yuen 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
160 LI Lucas 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
161 LOVELL Jackson 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
161 TAK Kion 100% 79% 40% 13% 2% - -
161 BALAGOPAL Aditya 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
164 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 100% 82% 35% 8% 1% - -
165 DING Orlando 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
165 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
167 CHEN Ryan 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
168 HOLMES Xavier 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
168 WU Dustin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
168 CHEN Luca 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
171 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
172 JIA Francis 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
173 SHEK-WEI Wesley 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
174 SUN Leonard 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
174 HU YouShi 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
176 CHEN Harrison 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
177 LEE Aiden 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
177 YANG Aegon 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
177 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
177 ROSE Parker 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
181 WU Allen 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
182 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Weston 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
182 HARDY Mason 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
184 HUANG Joseph 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
184 YUNG Nathan 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% - -
184 KANG Nathan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
187 LEI Isaac 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
187 WU Dylan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
189 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
189 TAK Sion 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
191 ROSENBLATT Ezra 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
192 RAHMAN Noah 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
193 PATHAK Adhrit 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
194 GUO Lining 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.