GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIE Brandon - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
2 GINZBURG Adam - 4% 20% 41% 28% 6%
3 KIM Sterling S. - 2% 17% 39% 33% 9%
3 KARNAS Karol - - 1% 10% 49% 40%
5 WANG William M. - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
6 CURTY Jack - 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
7 JUSCINSKI Michal - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
8 HU Robert J. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
9 FANG Hanning - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
10 BISSEN Quinn 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
11 MITEV Alexander - - 4% 17% 38% 32% 9%
12 BARFORD Giovanni - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
13 WILLIAMS Logan - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
14 BAMPTON Nicholas J. - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
15 ZHANG James 1% 9% 36% 44% 10% 1%
16 LEHNER Brian 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
17 MCDOWELL Will - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
18 UNG Kei - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
19 BROOKS Zach B. - - 1% 10% 49% 40%
20 MITTAL Sanil - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
21 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 7%
22 PIENTA Chris J. - 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4%
23 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
24 BOSS Evan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
25 ROWLAND Marsden 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
26 JANYSKA Allen 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
27 XIAO Yichen - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
28 SNYDER Alex 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
29 GUTIERREZ-SARABIA Nicholas 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 1%
30 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
31 RIECK Brennan - 5% 30% 39% 21% 5% -
32 ALI Adam 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
33 MILLER Lance W. 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
34 ZHENG Alan - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
35 LARSON Vaughn 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
36 LAPP J P 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
37 LI Peizhen (Daniel) 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
38 CHU Ian - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
39 SWANSON Dave 1% 21% 43% 28% 7% 1%
40 CASTELLI Marco 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
41 ZHANG Michael 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
42 TOLLEFSON Zachary - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
42 TIMEK Jan 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
44 TOWNSEND George - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
45 PATEL Aayan 13% 44% 34% 8% - -
46 NALLICHERI Ayaan 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
47 RICHARDSON Ray 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
48 SAYLOR Henry 83% 16% 1% - - -
49 OLIN Wesley 6% 30% 43% 19% 2% -
50 DEPAUW Achiel 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
51 SEABLOOM Jack 10% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
52 JERDEE trevor 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
53 TAHA Ray 8% 36% 38% 15% 2% - -
54 JERDEE Colton 31% 51% 15% 2% - - -
55 TICHENOR Abreham 45% 46% 9% 1% - - -
56 WILLIAMS Richard 3% 33% 43% 18% 3% -
57 STREETER Oliver 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
58 AYAR Riley < 1% 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
59 VERWORN Jonathan 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.